Price Position and Structural State
Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) closed at 0.01315 USDT on July 16, 2026, down 3.59%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.01157 USDT, with resistance near 0.01893 USDT. A daily close below 0.01157 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
GOAT is trading below all key moving averages, but the weakness is still early rather than deeply stretched. MA9 at 0.01361 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to reclaim. Price sits 4.93% below MA50, within a historical range of -67.83% to 210.71%. The structure is bearish, but downside extension remains inside its normal range.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
GOAT shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 43.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -0.77% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005000%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.72, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
GOAT remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that GOAT moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting GOAT. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.668 | 1.151 | 0.446 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.75 | 1.104 | 0.562 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.705 | 1.029 | 0.497 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
GOAT's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 7.38, close to the bottom of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 20.55, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.80. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 44.09, ROC14 is -2.66%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. GOAT stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For GOAT, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.01893 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.01157 USDT confirms a bearish regime.