Outcome Analysis

Observed post-event outcomes (MFE = opportunity, MAE = heat) across Sigloid events. This page is research-grade reporting, not a promise.

Generated: 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC · Source: exit_events · Bot: prod

Open events

381

Currently open legs in the database for the active bot filter.

Closed events

597

All exits recorded.

Usable closed samples

597

Rows where both MFE and MAE are present.

Overall distributions

MFE (opportunity) distribution

597 samples

Avg: 11.06% · Median: 3.62% · P75: 10.63% · P90: 21.22% · P95: 37.46%
Min: 0.00% · Max: 469.90%

MAE (heat) distribution

597 samples

Avg: 8.93% · Median: 6.28% · P75: 12.97% · P90: 19.01% · P95: 24.26%
Min: 0.00% · Max: 83.10%

LONG outcomes

189 samples

MFE median: 7.29% · MFE P75: 18.52%
MAE median: 10.18% · MAE P75: 16.98%

SHORT outcomes

408 samples

MFE median: 2.86% · MFE P75: 8.24%
MAE median: 5.77% · MAE P75: 10.75%

Top symbols (by sample size)

Table is limited to the top 50 by sample size, then sorted by median MFE. Click any symbol to open its Daily page.

SymbolNMedian MFEP75 MFEMedian MAEP75 MAE
GUNUSDT64.20%10.21%15.56%19.91%
THEUSDT63.81%9.00%3.31%7.18%
LYNUSDT55.55%37.30%14.50%14.88%
BULLAUSDT429.70%144.99%13.89%35.94%
SIRENUSDT420.89%87.11%5.96%12.37%
1000WHYUSDT410.40%19.20%10.55%11.39%
1000CHEEMSUSDT43.89%4.93%3.40%4.97%
FFUSDT43.47%7.65%3.85%5.66%
BCHUSDT42.94%4.81%5.64%7.59%
JASMYUSDT42.84%3.60%14.74%17.38%
FLUIDUSDT42.38%5.50%3.13%8.68%
IOTAUSDT41.29%6.25%3.53%6.56%
FIDAUSDT41.13%6.34%4.18%5.02%
SYRUPUSDT40.77%1.05%4.66%7.26%
OPENUSDT40.52%1.68%12.43%13.99%
CHESSUSDT317.78%21.23%11.96%12.33%
COWUSDT315.39%17.36%3.36%3.56%
PTBUSDT314.51%23.70%0.00%5.61%
ARCUSDT313.07%17.24%26.04%30.56%
SOMIUSDT312.48%15.98%16.64%25.77%
LQTYUSDT39.39%9.80%7.65%9.40%
NAORISUSDT38.77%25.80%6.10%15.94%
INUSDT38.73%11.36%5.24%9.60%
TAUSDT37.84%11.38%16.88%20.33%
ACHUSDT36.62%11.66%6.33%8.43%
SUNUSDT35.93%7.12%1.80%2.34%
KAIAUSDT35.80%11.39%14.57%16.55%
AUCTIONUSDT35.26%16.47%18.03%23.82%
MITOUSDT35.22%5.44%1.92%9.94%
POLUSDT35.12%11.47%6.13%10.55%
MANAUSDT34.08%4.26%12.21%13.22%
SOLVUSDT33.62%5.14%4.46%4.61%
RIFUSDT33.55%5.34%8.50%9.65%
PUFFERUSDT33.43%4.56%1.95%3.17%
STOUSDT33.27%13.42%6.20%19.66%
ZKJUSDT33.25%3.68%14.03%14.72%
VANAUSDT33.22%5.11%4.08%4.70%
GUSDT32.53%7.78%9.88%20.50%
TAGUSDT32.46%3.92%7.37%7.47%
ALICEUSDT32.43%4.26%1.82%2.13%
VANRYUSDT32.37%8.54%10.98%16.00%
SAHARAUSDT32.04%2.25%5.40%6.88%
PAXGUSDT31.55%5.96%0.00%0.14%
UBUSDT31.51%2.29%17.08%18.57%
ONDOUSDT31.36%5.37%5.31%6.12%
MEUSDT31.05%1.97%2.05%3.79%
RVNUSDT30.93%5.58%6.41%6.59%
IDUSDT30.84%3.14%6.98%12.94%
C98USDT30.65%11.61%21.02%25.05%
PROVEUSDT30.55%8.31%7.02%8.79%

Latest closed outcomes

Latest exits with MFE/MAE anchors when available. (PNL shown as extra context.)

Exit timeSymbolDirMFEMAEPNLResult
2026-02-10 01:59:26ACHUSDTSHORT6.62%5.88%-3.99%loss
2026-02-10 00:59:08TRXUSDTSHORT0.87%3.43%-3.25%loss
2026-02-09 17:18:56WAXPUSDTSHORT4.62%7.74%-7.17%loss
2026-02-09 07:18:29BULLAUSDTSHORT22.70%83.10%-7.57%loss
2026-02-09 06:59:57COWUSDTSHORT19.33%0.00%-0.06%loss
2026-02-09 05:20:37RAREUSDTSHORT3.05%8.05%-5.67%loss
2026-02-08 16:46:27C98USDTLONG0.00%21.02%-21.33%loss
2026-02-08 14:39:07VANRYUSDTSHORT14.72%0.00%-0.14%loss
2026-02-08 13:58:34BASUSDTSHORT23.34%0.00%-0.06%loss
2026-02-08 12:17:19SYRUPUSDTSHORT1.05%14.85%-14.99%loss
2026-02-08 11:14:30HIPPOUSDTSHORT0.00%23.84%-18.87%loss
2026-02-08 08:51:27SUNUSDTSHORT5.93%2.88%-3.02%loss
2026-02-08 08:30:39MUSDTLONG1.03%19.43%-20.01%loss
2026-02-08 07:14:26SIRENUSDTLONG277.25%5.74%-1.84%loss
2026-02-08 02:22:16CVXUSDTSHORT0.00%18.20%-15.80%loss
2026-02-08 02:12:34TUTUSDTSHORT9.81%1.58%-0.95%loss
2026-02-08 01:53:36MUBARAKUSDTSHORT9.44%8.00%-7.50%loss
2026-02-08 01:15:23DOLOUSDTSHORT0.00%18.79%-16.87%loss
2026-02-08 01:08:19RIFUSDTLONG3.55%8.50%-8.51%loss
2026-02-08 01:06:33STEEMUSDTSHORT7.89%3.55%-3.99%loss
2026-02-08 01:03:19GUSDTSHORT0.16%9.88%-8.01%loss
2026-02-08 00:44:17GMTUSDTSHORT10.77%1.80%-1.27%loss
2026-02-07 20:48:33BEAMXUSDTSHORT16.72%0.00%-0.04%loss
2026-02-07 19:36:37BROCCOLIF3BUSDTSHORT14.13%0.00%-0.10%loss
2026-02-07 16:30:21SIRENUSDTSHORT18.05%30.96%-33.40%loss
2026-02-07 15:52:27ARCUSDTLONG13.07%35.07%-35.60%loss
2026-02-07 15:22:19PTBUSDTSHORT32.89%0.00%-1.17%loss
2026-02-07 13:10:36SIRENUSDTLONG23.73%2.47%-12.83%loss
2026-02-07 10:58:12STORJUSDTSHORT13.13%0.00%-0.09%loss
2026-02-07 07:01:46BANANAS31USDTSHORT10.20%7.87%-8.97%loss
2026-02-07 04:17:11TONUSDTSHORT12.15%0.07%-0.04%loss
2026-02-07 03:53:30ARKUSDTSHORT17.74%0.00%-1.38%loss
2026-02-07 03:38:56WCTUSDTSHORT17.19%0.00%-0.21%loss
2026-02-07 03:25:22SOPHUSDTSHORT8.58%8.28%-8.98%loss
2026-02-07 02:50:40LAUSDTSHORT38.13%0.00%0.00%break_even
2026-02-07 02:23:54KERNELUSDTSHORT12.34%5.29%-6.54%loss
2026-02-07 02:18:15SOMIUSDTSHORT7.44%16.64%-17.47%loss
2026-02-07 02:17:42FLOCKUSDTSHORT18.90%0.00%-0.15%loss
2026-02-07 01:09:43HEMIUSDTSHORT14.82%0.00%-0.12%loss
2026-02-07 01:05:46INUSDTSHORT13.98%5.24%-7.14%loss
2026-02-07 00:00:35API3USDTSHORT24.06%0.00%-2.96%loss
2026-02-06 22:37:23BCHUSDTSHORT2.59%11.81%-13.32%loss
2026-02-06 22:01:55MANTAUSDTSHORT7.73%7.46%-8.26%loss
2026-02-06 19:08:16OLUSDTSHORT13.66%0.00%-1.00%loss
2026-02-06 18:36:38JELLYJELLYUSDTSHORT0.00%15.15%-15.96%loss
2026-02-06 18:26:49BERAUSDTSHORT29.77%0.00%-1.59%loss
2026-02-06 17:42:47YFIUSDTSHORT15.89%0.00%0.00%break_even
2026-02-06 17:33:17ANIMEUSDTSHORT0.00%17.03%-17.19%loss
2026-02-06 17:32:01NMRUSDTSHORT0.00%11.53%-11.74%loss
2026-02-06 17:27:21JASMYUSDTSHORT2.37%12.97%-13.26%loss

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