Griffain (GRIFFAIN) Bearish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

GRIFFAIN market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-05-29 | Symbol GRIFFAIN | Last closed price 0.010087
Last closed price
0.010087
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.00729 to 0.07805
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.009715 / 0.023124
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Griffain (GRIFFAIN) closed at 0.010087 USDT on May 29, 2026, down 1.12%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 0.010269 USDT on May 28, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.009715 USDT, with resistance near 0.023124 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 0.010992 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakdown Context: 65-Session Support Pressure

Griffain spent about 65 sessions consolidating above the 0.010269 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The extended compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

GRIFFAIN is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.010935 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 31.89% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -82.37% to 176.55%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension. GRIFFAIN recently closed below its prior 55-day low, shifting its structure into a bearish regime. MA50 is declining at -2.83% over 10 days, but MA100 remains at +2.66% over 20 days, showing the breakdown has short-to-medium-term moving-average alignment but has not yet pulled longer-term averages lower.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

GRIFFAIN shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 27.4. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest increased +4.56% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 60-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004874%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 3.24, sitting near the upper side of its 60-day range at 83.91%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

GRIFFAIN shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.4591.5480.211Moderate linkage
60D0.2881.1080.083Weak linkage
180D0.4540.9520.206Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

GRIFFAIN's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 12.82, close to the bottom of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 47.91, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.52. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.

Momentum is weaker. RSI is 32.60, ROC14 is -11.07%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.

The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. GRIFFAIN has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For GRIFFAIN, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 0.010992 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 0.023124 USDT would establish a bullish regime.

Griffain (GRIFFAIN) Historical Chart and Market Context

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Chart Description

The Griffain (GRIFFAIN) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for GRIFFAIN?+

GRIFFAIN is currently in a bearish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as a breakdown below the prior 55-day range until price reclaims structure.

What are the key support and resistance levels for GRIFFAIN?+

GRIFFAIN's nearest resistance is MA9 near 0.010935 USDT. Possible support is near 0.0040201 USDT, estimated from historical downside distance from MA200; ATR% and Bollinger Band width% are mixed, so Sigloid treats the level as a context zone rather than a hard line. If the asset has limited trading history, this estimate can be less reliable.

What would change the current GRIFFAIN structure?+

The bearish structure would weaken if GRIFFAIN reclaims its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A stronger bullish shift would need a close above 55-day resistance near 0.023124 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for GRIFFAIN?+

GRIFFAIN's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 32.60, ROC14 is -11.07%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for GRIFFAIN?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed +4.56% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 3.24.

How correlated is GRIFFAIN with Bitcoin?+

GRIFFAIN currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.41, beta is 1.68, and R² is 0.17.

Is Sigloid's GRIFFAIN analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily GRIFFAIN analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.