Price Position and Structural State
The Graph (GRT) closed at 0.01759 USDT on August 25, 2026, down 0.96%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the top of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.01297 USDT, with resistance near 0.01946 USDT. A daily close above 0.01946 USDT would confirm an upside regime shift. A rejection near resistance would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
GRT is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA9 at 0.015779 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA100 at 0.01852 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
GRT shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 33.2. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +1.15% in one day and moved above its 60-day range. This shows fresh leverage expansion, with new futures exposure now above the highest level from that range.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.010000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.007748%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.70, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
GRT remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that GRT moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting GRT. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.773 | 1.29 | 0.598 | Strong, high beta |
| 60D | 0.729 | 1.079 | 0.532 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.74 | 0.922 | 0.548 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
GRT is trading with expanding volatility. ATR% reads 6.45, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 42.67, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 2.06, showing strong above-normal participation. Range movement, volatility structure, and participation are working together.
Momentum is stronger. RSI is 66.36, ROC14 is +27.65%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.
The read is clear: volatility, participation, and momentum are aligned, so the pressure build carries more weight.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. GRT stays closely linked to that market condition, so broader market strength can support price behavior and keep market direction important for this asset.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For GRT, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.01946 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.01297 USDT confirms a bearish regime.