Price Position and Structural State
Holoworld AI (HOLO) closed at 0.07295 USDT on May 29, 2026, up 1.08%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.05191 USDT, with resistance near 0.08902 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
HOLO is trading below short-term moving averages while still holding above longer-term support. MA9 at 0.073203 USDT may cap short-term recovery attempts, while MA200 at 0.069157 USDT remains the more significant structural support area. The structure resembles a pullback within a broader trend more than a full trend failure.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
HOLO shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 36.2. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased sharply +13.63% in one day and moved above its 30-day range. This shows fresh leverage expansion, with new futures exposure now above the highest level from that range.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004723%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 0.81, sitting near the lower side of its 180-day range at 7.20%. This means short accounts dominate, with the long/short reading near the low side of recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
HOLO shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.233 | 0.554 | 0.054 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | 0.465 | 0.981 | 0.216 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.594 | 0.945 | 0.353 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
HOLO's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 6.81, close to the bottom of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 20.94, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.88. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Momentum is mixed. RSI is 50.63, ROC14 is -0.16%, and MACD histogram does not confirm a clean direction. Indicator pressure remains uneven.
The read is incomplete, so support, resistance, and the daily close matter more than the indicator setup.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. HOLO has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For HOLO, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.08902 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.05191 USDT confirms a bearish regime.