Price Position and Structural State
JUST (JST) closed at 0.13138 USDT on October 15, 2026, down 7.28%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the top of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.09343 USDT, with resistance near 0.14311 USDT. A daily close above 0.14311 USDT would confirm an upside regime shift. A rejection near resistance would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
JST is trading below short-term moving averages while still holding above longer-term support. MA20 at 0.135225 USDT may cap short-term recovery attempts, while MA50 at 0.11929 USDT remains the more significant structural support area. The structure resembles a pullback within a broader trend more than a full trend failure.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
JST shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 67.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +6.60% in one day, showing fresh leverage entering the market. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move adds leverage from a normal base rather than from a stretched one.
Funding is negative on the 24-hour average at -0.003235%, with the 7-day average also negative at -0.002501%. This shows sustained short-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.06, showing near balance between long and short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so account-side positioning looks balanced.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
JST shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.028 | 0.031 | 0.001 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | -0.047 | -0.043 | 0.002 | Inverse linkage |
| 180D | -0.017 | -0.022 | 0 | Inverse linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
JST is moving more day to day, but participation remains weak. ATR% reads 4.30, near the upper side of its 90-day range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 16.43, near the lower side of its 30-day range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.54.
ROC14 is +0.41%, while RSI is 50.83 and MACD histogram remains negative. Multi-day acceleration has improved, but the broader momentum picture is still incomplete.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. JST has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For JST, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.14311 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.09343 USDT confirms a bearish regime.