Price Position and Structural State
Maverick Protocol (MAV) closed at 0.010491 USDT on August 30, 2026, down 4.12%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the top of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.00776 USDT, with resistance near 0.011857 USDT. A daily close above 0.011857 USDT would confirm an upside regime shift. A rejection near resistance would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
MAV is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA14 at 0.010365 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA9 at 0.010704 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
MAV shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 34.4. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -0.91% in one day, showing some exposure was reduced. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.010000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.010000%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 2.90, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
MAV shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.498 | 0.613 | 0.248 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.322 | 0.539 | 0.104 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.508 | 0.725 | 0.258 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
MAV's bands are opening, but the move still lacks full support. Bollinger Band width% reads 31.87, near the upper side of its 60-day range. ATR% reads 7.24, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.35, showing near-normal participation.
Momentum is stronger. RSI is 58.76, ROC14 is +12.58%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. MAV has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For MAV, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.011857 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.00776 USDT confirms a bearish regime.