Price Position and Structural State
Maverick Protocol (MAV) closed at 0.0094 USDT on July 14, 2026, up 2.40%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.00884 USDT, with resistance near 0.01454 USDT. A daily close below 0.00884 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
MAV is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.0095411 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 10.93% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -52.12% to 68.14%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
MAV shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 42.8. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -6.63% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004512%, while the 7-day average is -0.005738%. This shows fresh long-side cost pressure rather than a sustained build across the week.
The long/short ratio is 2.46, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
MAV shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is weakening.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.287 | 0.567 | 0.082 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | 0.569 | 0.884 | 0.324 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.634 | 0.83 | 0.402 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
MAV's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 7.87, near the lower side of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 15.17, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.44. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +2.17%, while RSI is 44.78.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. MAV has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For MAV, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.01454 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.00884 USDT confirms a bearish regime.