Secret (SCRT) Bearish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

SCRT market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-07-14 | Symbol SCRT | Last closed price 0.04169
Last closed price
0.04169
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.03663 to 0.3351
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.03663 / 0.08704
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Secret (SCRT) closed at 0.04169 USDT on July 14, 2026, down 0.31%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 0.04105 USDT on July 8, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.03663 USDT, with resistance near 0.08704 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 0.046149 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakdown Context: several-Session Support Pressure

Secret spent about several sessions consolidating above the 0.04105 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

SCRT is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.043167 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 27.78% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -43.77% to 55.39%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

SCRT shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 22.6. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -3.74% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.002176%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.28, sitting near the lower side of its 180-day range at 11.80%. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

SCRT shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.521.5420.27Moderate linkage
60D0.5641.1850.318Moderate linkage
180D0.6111.0130.373Strong linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

SCRT's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 14.18, near the middle of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 43.98, near the middle of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.62. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.

Momentum is weaker. RSI is 36.56, ROC14 is -13.47%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.

The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. SCRT has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For SCRT, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 0.046149 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 0.08704 USDT would establish a bullish regime.

Secret (SCRT) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Secret (SCRT) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for SCRT?+

SCRT is currently in a bearish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as a breakdown below the prior 55-day range until price reclaims structure.

What are the key support and resistance levels for SCRT?+

SCRT's nearest resistance is MA9 near 0.043167 USDT. Possible support is near 0.038053 USDT, estimated from historical downside distance from MA200; ATR% and Bollinger Band width% are mixed, so Sigloid treats the level as a context zone rather than a hard line. If the asset has limited trading history, this estimate can be less reliable.

What would change the current SCRT structure?+

The bearish structure would weaken if SCRT reclaims its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A stronger bullish shift would need a close above 55-day resistance near 0.08704 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for SCRT?+

SCRT's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 36.56, ROC14 is -13.47%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for SCRT?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -3.74% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.28.

How correlated is SCRT with Bitcoin?+

SCRT currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.42, beta is 1.61, and R² is 0.18.

Is Sigloid's SCRT analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily SCRT analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.