Price Position and Structural State
Taiko (TAIKO) closed at 0.0713 USDT on August 30, 2026, down 1.45%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.06475 USDT, with resistance near 0.09404 USDT. A daily close below 0.06475 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
TAIKO is trading below all key moving averages. MA20 at 0.07275 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. The more notable signal is downside extension: TAIKO sits 3.64% below MA50, while its historical range runs from -37.23% to 370.00%. Price is now approaching the lower end of that historical range, which means the downside move is pronounced but also raises mean-reversion risk from a stretched position.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
TAIKO shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 20.6. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -0.19% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 60-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005000%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.54, sitting near the upper side of its 90-day range at 82.62%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
TAIKO shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.623 | 0.576 | 0.388 | Strong, lower beta |
| 60D | -0.111 | -0.799 | 0.012 | Inverse linkage |
| 180D | 0.124 | 0.839 | 0.015 | Weak linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
TAIKO remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 7.14, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 16.22, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.08, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +1.35%, while RSI is 45.94.
The read is early: some pressure is improving, but the asset remains compressed. A better signal would need range expansion and stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. TAIKO has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For TAIKO, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.1041 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.06475 USDT confirms a bearish regime.