Uniswap (UNI) Bullish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

UNI market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-08-30 | Symbol UNI | Last closed price 5.126
Last closed price
5.126
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
2.258 to 10.34
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
3.104 / 5.492
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Uniswap (UNI) closed at 5.126 USDT on August 30, 2026, up 9.55%. The asset now sits in a bullish structure. Price entered this structure after closing above 55-day resistance at 4.844 USDT on August 30, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 3.104 USDT, with resistance near 5.492 USDT. A daily close below MA14 at 4.2021 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakout Context: 218-Session Compression

Uniswap spent about 218 sessions consolidating below the 4.844 USDT resistance level before a breakout closed above it. This confirmed the bullish structural transition. The major compression period shows sustained pressure at the resistance level, where repeated attempts failed until buyers took control and pushed the price higher.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

UNI is trading above all key moving averages, but the move is still early rather than stretched. MA9 at 4.5252 USDT stands as the first moving-average support area to watch. Price sits 31.72% above MA50, within a historical range of -51.78% to 193.29%. The structure is positive, but price remains close to its moving-average base, which limits extension risk for now. UNI recently closed above its prior 55-day high, shifting its structure into a bullish regime. MA14, MA20, and MA50 slopes are all rising, with MA50 advancing at +6.50% over the past 10 days. Rising moving-average slopes aligned with the breakout strengthen the structural case beyond a price-only close.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

UNI shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 69.0. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest increased +6.71% in one day and remains near the upper side of its 90-day range. This shows leverage is elevated and still building.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.010000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.009614%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.66, sitting near the upper side of its 30-day range at 96.40%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

UNI shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is weakening.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.5691.0140.324Moderate linkage
60D0.5280.9840.279Moderate linkage
180D0.6470.9960.419Strong linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

UNI's volatility envelope is starting to open. Bollinger Band width% reads 57.73, above its 180-day range, while ATR% reads 7.28, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 2.81. Bands are widening before daily range expansion has fully followed.

Momentum is stronger. RSI is 71.30, ROC14 is +56.71%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. UNI has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For UNI, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying above MA14 at 4.2021 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close below MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break below 55-day support at 3.066 USDT would establish a bearish regime.

Uniswap (UNI) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Uniswap (UNI) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for UNI?+

UNI is currently in a bullish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as an accepted move above the prior 55-day range until structure weakens.

What are the key support and resistance levels for UNI?+

UNI's nearest support is MA9 near 4.5252 USDT, while nearest resistance is monthly MA14 near 5.2691 USDT. These levels come from nearest daily moving average below price and nearest monthly moving average above price.

What would change the current UNI structure?+

The bullish structure would weaken if UNI loses its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A deeper defensive shift would need a close below 55-day support near 3.066 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for UNI?+

UNI's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 71.30, ROC14 is +56.71%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for UNI?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed +6.71% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.66.

How correlated is UNI with Bitcoin?+

UNI currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.56, beta is 1.24, and R² is 0.32.

Is Sigloid's UNI analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily UNI analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.