Price Position and Structural State
4 (4) closed at 0.008946 USDT on July 15, 2026, down 0.39%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.006678 USDT, with resistance near 0.013568 USDT. A daily close below 0.006678 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
4 is trading between key moving averages. MA9 at 0.0087568 USDT stands as moving-average support, while MA50 at 0.0089496 USDT stands as moving-average resistance. This creates a clear decision zone. A sustained hold above MA9 at 0.0087568 USDT keeps the structure constructive, while a rejection near MA50 at 0.0089496 USDT leaves the trend unresolved.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
4 shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 25.0. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +0.09% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.011126%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.008041%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 4.34, sitting near the upper side of its 180-day range at 87.95%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
4 shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.17 | 0.674 | 0.029 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | 0.278 | 1.008 | 0.078 | Weak linkage |
| 180D | 0.413 | 1.261 | 0.17 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
4's bands are opening, but the move still lacks full support. Bollinger Band width% reads 40.98, close to the top of its 30-day range. ATR% reads 11.15, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.43, showing near-normal participation.
Momentum is mixed. RSI is 49.11, ROC14 is -1.90%, and MACD histogram does not confirm a clean direction. Indicator pressure remains uneven.
The read is incomplete, so support, resistance, and the daily close matter more than the indicator setup.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. 4 has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For 4, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.013568 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.006678 USDT confirms a bearish regime.