4 (4) Bullish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

4 market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-08-30 | Symbol 4 | Last closed price 0.015233
Last closed price
0.015233
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.006354 to 0.31076
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.0077 / 0.0218
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

4 (4) closed at 0.015233 USDT on August 30, 2026, down 15.15%. The asset now sits in a bullish structure. Price entered this structure after closing above 55-day resistance at 0.014638 USDT on August 29, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.0077 USDT, with resistance near 0.0218 USDT. A daily close below MA14 at 0.012164 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakout Context: 117-Session Compression

4 spent about 117 sessions consolidating below the 0.014638 USDT resistance level before a breakout closed above it. This confirmed the bullish structural transition. The major compression period shows sustained pressure at the resistance level, where repeated attempts failed until buyers took control and pushed the price higher.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

4 is trading above all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.012607 USDT stands as the first moving-average support area to watch. Price sits 46.98% above MA50, within its historical distance range of -65.01% to 126.89%. The moving-average structure is aligned without showing extreme extension. 4 recently closed above its prior 55-day high, shifting its structure into a bullish regime. MA50 is rising at +6.41% over 10 days, but MA100 remains at -0.16% over 20 days, showing the breakout has short-to-medium-term moving-average alignment but has not yet pulled longer-term averages higher.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

4 shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 74.6. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest increased sharply +132.87% in one day and moved above its 180-day range. This shows fresh leverage expansion, with new futures exposure now above the highest level from that range.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.062088%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.028599%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.33 and has moved below its 90-day range. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

4 shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.3111.2430.097Moderate linkage
60D0.2481.0720.062Weak linkage
180D0.2290.8820.052Weak linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

4 is trading with expanding volatility. ATR% reads 16.62, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 63.68, above its 90-day range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 2.68, showing strong above-normal participation. Range movement, volatility structure, and participation are working together.

Momentum is stronger. RSI is 60.99, ROC14 is +40.79%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.

The read is clear: volatility, participation, and momentum are aligned, so the pressure build carries more weight.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. 4 has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends more on its own structure than on the broader market trend.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For 4, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying above MA14 at 0.012164 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close below MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break below 55-day support at 0.0077 USDT would establish a bearish regime.

4 (4) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The 4 (4) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for 4?+

4 is currently in a bullish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as an accepted move above the prior 55-day range until structure weakens.

What are the key support and resistance levels for 4?+

4's nearest support is MA9 near 0.012607 USDT. Possible resistance is near 0.018005 USDT, estimated from historical upside distance from MA200; ATR% and Bollinger Band width% are already elevated, so extension risk carries more weight. If the asset has limited trading history, this estimate can be less reliable.

What would change the current 4 structure?+

The bullish structure would weaken if 4 loses its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A deeper defensive shift would need a close below 55-day support near 0.0077 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for 4?+

4's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 60.99, ROC14 is +40.79%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for 4?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed +132.87% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.33.

How correlated is 4 with Bitcoin?+

4 currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.26, beta is 1.30, and R² is 0.07.

Is Sigloid's 4 analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily 4 analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.