ACH Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.007512 365D range: 0.006178 to 0.040116 Key levels (55D): 0.006178 / 0.013074 MA14: 0.008327 MA50: 0.009353 MA200: 0.014104 Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-02-06) Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.007512 (6.10% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.006178 (support) and 0.013074 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-02-06.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the lower part of that range.

The close is below MA14 (0.0083275), a short-term pivot.

The close is below MA50 (0.009353), a medium-term guide.

The close is below MA200 (0.014104), a long-horizon anchor level.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is MEDIUM. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 11.75% ATR and 79.78% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is 0.44.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is -4.49% over 1 day and -29.53% over 7 days.

Funding is -0.000157 and long/short ratio is 1.15.

Intent read: De-risking. Open interest has been shrinking, which suggests leverage is being reduced.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is strong (0.61). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

180D correlation is strong (0.73), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.

60D beta is normal (0.84). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

180D beta is normal (1.01), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.

60D R² is high (0.37). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

180D R² is high (0.54), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.

Indicator Trends

Volume is above its 14 day average and is rising versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is above its 14 day average, suggesting volatility is expanding versus the recent baseline.

ATR percent is below its 14 day average, so daily ranges have been narrowing versus recent conditions.

RSI is above its 14 day average and improving versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.

Funding is below its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

This asset has been strongly index-linked historically, so regime context from the index is more reliable for framing risk.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.013074. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.006178. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.010467 0.011531 0.009403 0.015115 48.25 -0.00 2.42 unavailable 34.42 99.62 unavailable 3376260 -0.00008343 0.97 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.010550 0.011514 0.009438 0.015062 49.00 -0.00 -2.28 unavailable 33.29 98.99 unavailable 3170186 -0.00013979 0.67 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.010160 0.011485 0.009460 0.015008 45.66 -0.00 -3.74 unavailable 30.43 99.27 unavailable 3212730 -0.00007942 0.61 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.009600 0.011359 0.009474 0.014950 41.32 -0.00 -15.57 unavailable 30.79 101.72 unavailable 3170214 0.00010000 0.58 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.009354 0.011220 0.009484 0.014892 39.54 -0.00 -17.23 unavailable 32.31 101.77 unavailable 2875800 0.00005122 0.56 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.008386 0.011022 0.009471 0.014826 33.44 -0.00 -24.78 unavailable 39.23 107.35 unavailable 2879760 0.00010000 0.62 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.007990 0.010735 0.009441 0.014756 31.31 -0.00 -33.46 unavailable 46.06 106.75 unavailable 2445097 -0.00003724 0.64 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.008198 0.010459 0.009425 0.014683 33.69 -0.00 -32.10 unavailable 51.43 103.98 unavailable 2403986 -0.00002518 0.71 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.007928 0.010183 0.009412 0.014610 32.13 -0.00 -32.76 unavailable 56.98 104.50 unavailable 2359692 -0.00031949 0.73 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.007990 0.009864 0.009403 0.014537 32.90 -0.00 -35.86 unavailable 61.43 104.32 unavailable 2237503 -0.00042561 0.83 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.006879 0.009489 0.009382 0.014437 27.00 -0.00 -43.27 unavailable 69.14 113.88 unavailable 2160460 -0.00028096 0.95 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.007536 0.009158 0.009381 0.014345 34.48 -0.00 -38.07 unavailable 73.53 116.02 unavailable 1880049 -0.00036314 1.15 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.007422 0.008805 0.009373 0.014255 33.84 -0.00 -39.94 unavailable 76.31 113.93 unavailable 1926212 -0.00020554 1.22 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.007080 0.008539 0.009357 0.014175 31.90 -0.00 -34.55 unavailable 78.92 112.82 unavailable 1773609 -0.00008790 1.31 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.007512 0.008327 0.009353 0.014104 36.82 -0.00 -28.23 unavailable 79.78 115.17 unavailable 1694020 -0.00015712 1.15 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.