ARC Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.063960 365D range: 0.005000 to 0.440000 Key levels (55D): 0.030830 / 0.100940 MA14: 0.058011 MA50: 0.050506 MA200: 0.030752 Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-01-21) Breakout level: 0.072660 Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.06396 (-15.71% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.03083 (support) and 0.10094 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-01-21.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the middle part of that range.

The close is above MA14 (0.058011), a short-term pivot.

The close is above MA50 (0.050506), a medium-term guide.

The close is above MA200 (0.030752), a long-horizon anchor level.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is LOW. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 23.25% ATR and 75.86% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is -0.13.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is 26.94% over 1 day and 94.91% over 7 days.

Funding is 0.000348 and long/short ratio is 0.88.

Intent read: Position building. Open interest moved sharply while price stayed near the middle of the range.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is weak (0.06). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

180D correlation is weak (0.29), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.

60D beta is low (0.21). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

180D beta is normal (0.87), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.

60D R² is low (0.00). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

180D R² is low (0.08), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.

Indicator Trends

Volume is below its 14 day average and is falling versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is above its 14 day average, suggesting volatility is expanding versus the recent baseline.

ATR percent is above its 14 day average, so daily ranges are wider than the recent baseline.

RSI is above its 14 day average and improving versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is above its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been building versus the recent baseline.

Funding is below its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

This asset has been less index-linked historically, so the index bias is less informative for it than for high-correlation assets.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.10094. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.03083. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.050280 0.059729 0.044932 0.028862 48.38 -0.00 2.47 unavailable 83.66 225.62 unavailable 28343145 0.00031705 0.62 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.051610 0.058623 0.045176 0.028966 49.39 -0.00 -23.08 unavailable 73.99 221.10 unavailable 28176260 0.00014399 0.48 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.054700 0.058446 0.045531 0.029081 51.73 -0.00 -4.34 unavailable 66.64 219.14 unavailable 28848757 0.00025609 0.51 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.048040 0.057971 0.045816 0.029166 46.71 -0.00 -12.14 unavailable 64.13 222.94 unavailable 30407968 0.00018641 0.48 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.042430 0.057313 0.046012 0.029216 42.93 -0.00 -17.85 unavailable 65.01 227.61 unavailable 26525479 0.00024600 0.43 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.043200 0.056886 0.046243 0.029272 43.61 -0.00 -12.14 unavailable 67.63 227.50 unavailable 23369443 0.00030934 0.48 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.041830 0.055945 0.046478 0.029316 42.64 -0.00 -23.96 unavailable 70.90 227.32 unavailable 23434895 0.00006920 0.55 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.046690 0.054491 0.046766 0.029390 47.11 -0.00 -30.36 unavailable 71.08 229.56 unavailable 21919240 0.00005000 0.66 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.070490 0.053669 0.047376 0.029587 62.53 -0.00 -14.05 unavailable 74.34 285.27 unavailable 23799365 0.00051558 1.18 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.063600 0.053184 0.047677 0.029752 57.32 0.00 -9.65 unavailable 74.79 288.68 unavailable 41623396 0.00129117 0.73 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.068290 0.053593 0.048320 0.029939 59.77 0.00 9.16 unavailable 75.66 288.23 unavailable 39573244 0.00065934 0.63 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.079890 0.054962 0.049115 0.030176 65.12 0.00 31.57 unavailable 80.17 289.20 unavailable 42376602 0.00083903 0.66 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.061550 0.055220 0.049500 0.030319 53.10 0.00 6.23 unavailable 79.68 300.86 unavailable 47715091 0.00021881 0.78 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.075880 0.057034 0.050115 0.030558 59.41 0.00 50.32 unavailable 82.23 306.40 unavailable 33656263 0.00049314 1.26 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.063960 0.058011 0.050506 0.030752 53.02 0.00 27.21 unavailable 75.86 313.11 unavailable 42723714 0.00034776 0.88 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.