Price Position and Structural State
Just a chill guy (CHILLGUY) closed at 0.01136 USDT on August 25, 2026, down 0.16%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.008412 USDT, with resistance near 0.014084 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
CHILLGUY is trading between key moving averages. MA14 at 0.011338 USDT stands as moving-average support, while MA9 at 0.011575 USDT stands as moving-average resistance. This creates a clear decision zone. A sustained hold above MA14 at 0.011338 USDT keeps the structure constructive, while a rejection near MA9 at 0.011575 USDT leaves the trend unresolved.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
CHILLGUY shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 22.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -2.54% in one day, showing clear position reduction. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.013632%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.023457%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 2.96, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
CHILLGUY shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.38 | 0.933 | 0.145 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.332 | 0.849 | 0.11 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.466 | 1.228 | 0.217 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
CHILLGUY's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 11.27, close to the bottom of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 25.38, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.17. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +5.98%, while RSI is 53.80.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. CHILLGUY has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For CHILLGUY, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.014084 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.008412 USDT confirms a bearish regime.