Shentu (CTK) Bearish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

CTK market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-05-29 | Symbol CTK | Last closed price 0.1503
Last closed price
0.1503
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.1457 to 0.5163
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.1457 / 0.2053
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Shentu (CTK) closed at 0.1503 USDT on May 29, 2026, up 0.87%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 0.1543 USDT on May 27, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.1457 USDT, with resistance near 0.2053 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 0.167079 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakdown Context: several-Session Support Pressure

Shentu spent about several sessions consolidating above the 0.1543 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

CTK is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.158167 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 15.50% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -31.26% to 45.08%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension. CTK recently closed below its prior 55-day low, shifting its structure into a bearish regime. MA14, MA20, and MA50 slopes are all falling, with MA50 declining at -0.63% over the past 10 days. Falling moving-average slopes aligned with the breakdown strengthen the structural case beyond a price-only close.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

CTK shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 35.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -1.67% in one day, showing some exposure was reduced. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004081%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 2.88, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

CTK shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.4340.8380.188Moderate linkage
60D0.4530.630.205Moderate linkage
180D0.5380.610.289Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

CTK is showing wider movement, but participation is not fully backing it. ATR% reads 6.40, near the lower side of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 39.14, above its 60-day range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.85, showing slightly below-normal participation.

Momentum is weaker. RSI is 31.33, ROC14 is -20.01%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.

The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. CTK has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For CTK, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 0.167079 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 0.2053 USDT would establish a bullish regime.

Shentu (CTK) Historical Chart and Market Context

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Chart Description

The Shentu (CTK) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for CTK?+

CTK is currently in a bearish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as a breakdown below the prior 55-day range until price reclaims structure.

What are the key support and resistance levels for CTK?+

CTK's nearest resistance is MA9 near 0.158167 USDT. Possible support is near 0.122275 USDT, estimated from historical downside distance from MA50; ATR% and Bollinger Band width% are already elevated, so extension risk carries more weight. If the asset has limited trading history, this estimate can be less reliable.

What would change the current CTK structure?+

The bearish structure would weaken if CTK reclaims its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A stronger bullish shift would need a close above 55-day resistance near 0.2053 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for CTK?+

CTK's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 31.33, ROC14 is -20.01%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for CTK?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -1.67% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 2.88.

How correlated is CTK with Bitcoin?+

CTK currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.41, beta is 0.94, and R² is 0.16.

Is Sigloid's CTK analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily CTK analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.