Meteora (MET) Bullish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

MET market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-10-15 | Symbol MET | Last closed price 0.3756
Last closed price
0.3756
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.0941 to 1.4246
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.1813 / 0.5445
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Meteora (MET) closed at 0.3756 USDT on October 15, 2026, down 1.29%. The asset now sits in a bullish structure. Price entered this structure after closing above 55-day resistance at 0.4136 USDT on October 7, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.1813 USDT, with resistance near 0.5445 USDT. A daily close below MA14 at 0.370636 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakout Context: 323-Session Compression

Meteora spent about 323 sessions consolidating below the 0.4136 USDT resistance level before a breakout closed above it. This confirmed the bullish structural transition. The major compression period shows sustained pressure at the resistance level, where repeated attempts failed until buyers took control and pushed the price higher.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

MET is trading between key moving averages. MA14 at 0.370636 USDT stands as moving-average support, while MA9 at 0.407122 USDT stands as moving-average resistance. This creates a clear decision zone. A sustained hold above MA14 at 0.370636 USDT keeps the structure constructive, while a rejection near MA9 at 0.407122 USDT leaves the trend unresolved.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

MET shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 14.9. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -6.60% in one day, showing clear position reduction. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.

Funding is negative on the 24-hour average at -0.012419%, with the 7-day average also negative at -0.018138%. This shows sustained short-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.10, showing near balance between long and short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so account-side positioning looks balanced.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

MET shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaR²Read
30D0.2710.8950.074Weak linkage
60D0.4261.1060.182Moderate linkage
180D0.4841.2740.234Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

MET is moving more day to day, but participation remains weak. ATR% reads 12.77, near the lower side of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 55.41, near the middle of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.34.

Momentum is improving, but not fully confirmed. RSI is 56.77 and ROC14 is +25.03%, showing upside pressure, while MACD histogram remains negative. Price momentum is improving, but short-term impulse has not fully turned.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. MET has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For MET, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying above MA14 at 0.370636 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close below MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break below 55-day support at 0.1813 USDT would establish a bearish regime.

Meteora (MET) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Meteora (MET) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for MET?+

MET is currently in a bullish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as an accepted move above the prior 55-day range until structure weakens.

What are the key support and resistance levels for MET?+

MET's nearest support is MA14 near 0.370636 USDT, while nearest resistance is MA9 near 0.407122 USDT. These levels come from nearest daily moving average below price and nearest daily moving average above price.

What would change the current MET structure?+

The bullish structure would weaken if MET loses its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A deeper defensive shift would need a close below 55-day support near 0.1813 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for MET?+

MET's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 56.77, ROC14 is +25.03%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for MET?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -6.60% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.10.

How correlated is MET with Bitcoin?+

MET currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.13, beta is 0.59, and R² is 0.02.

Is Sigloid's MET analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily MET analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.