Price Position and Structural State
GUNZ (GUN) closed at 0.002463 USDT on October 15, 2026, down 2.92%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.00228 USDT, with resistance near 0.003795 USDT. A daily close below 0.00228 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
GUN is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.0027622 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 15.77% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -55.58% to 116.25%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
GUN shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 37.0. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -1.21% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 60-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004857%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.36, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
GUN remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that GUN moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting GUN. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.71 | 1.1 | 0.504 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.674 | 0.878 | 0.454 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.343 | 0.832 | 0.118 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
GUN is showing wider movement, but participation is not fully backing it. ATR% reads 9.26, close to the bottom of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 31.13, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.09, showing near-normal participation.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 33.97, ROC14 is -17.87%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. GUN stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For GUN, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.003795 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.002425 USDT confirms a bearish regime.