Price Position and Structural State
Haedal Protocol (HAEDAL) closed at 0.01835 USDT on October 15, 2026, up 0.77%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.016 USDT, with resistance near 0.02397 USDT. A daily close below 0.016 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
HAEDAL is trading below short-term moving averages while still holding above longer-term support. MA9 at 0.01872 USDT may cap short-term recovery attempts, while MA100 at 0.017823 USDT remains the more significant structural support area. The structure resembles a pullback within a broader trend more than a full trend failure.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
HAEDAL shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 15.8. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +1.02% in one day, showing some leverage entering the market. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move adds leverage from a normal base rather than from a stretched one.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004671%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.003392%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 2.94, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
HAEDAL remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that HAEDAL moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting HAEDAL. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.697 | 0.942 | 0.486 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.623 | 0.765 | 0.388 | Strong, lower beta |
| 180D | 0.503 | 0.895 | 0.253 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
HAEDAL remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 7.50, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 20.79, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.21, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 43.07, ROC14 is -6.33%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is simple: volatility is compressed and momentum is not strong enough yet. A better signal would need range expansion with stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. HAEDAL stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For HAEDAL, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.02397 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.016 USDT confirms a bearish regime.