Price Position and Structural State
HANMIUSDT (HANMI) closed at 144.35 USDT on October 15, 2026, down 6.77%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 136.33 USDT, with resistance near 206.03 USDT. A daily close below 136.33 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
HANMI is trading below all key moving averages. MA50 at 176.165 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. The more notable signal is downside extension: HANMI sits 18.06% below MA50, while its historical range runs from -12.30% to 18.68%. Price has moved beyond the lower side of that historical range, which means the downside move is pronounced but also raises mean-reversion risk from a stretched position.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
HANMI shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 81.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +55.72% in one day and remains near the upper side of its 30-day range. This shows leverage is elevated and still building.
Funding is negative on the 24-hour average at -0.023675%, with the 7-day average also negative at -0.004821%. This shows sustained short-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.99 and has moved above its 30-day range. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
HANMI shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.448 | 0.622 | 0.2 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.257 | 0.315 | 0.066 | Weak linkage |
| 180D | — | — | — | Not enough data |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
HANMI is trading with expanding volatility. ATR% reads 6.66, above its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 32.88, above its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 3.38, showing strong above-normal participation. Range movement, volatility structure, and participation are working together.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 24.99, ROC14 is -26.59%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. HANMI has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For HANMI, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 206.03 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 141.18 USDT confirms a bearish regime.