HIPPO Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.000670 365D range: 0.000520 to 0.010813 Key levels (55D): 0.000520 / 0.001345 MA14: 0.000760 MA50: 0.001009 MA200: 0.001821 Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-01-12) Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.0006705 (0.07% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.00052 (support) and 0.001345 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-01-12.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the lower part of that range.

The close is below MA14 (0.00076), a short-term pivot.

The close is below MA50 (0.0010092), a medium-term guide.

The close is below MA200 (0.0018215), a long-horizon anchor level.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is HIGH. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 16.28% ATR and 68.72% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is -0.57.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is -2.71% over 1 day and -1.61% over 7 days.

Funding is 0.000050 and long/short ratio is 5.23.

Intent read: De-risking. Open interest has been shrinking, which suggests leverage is being reduced.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is strong (0.64). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

180D correlation is weak (0.29), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.

60D beta is normal (1.12). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

180D beta is high (1.34), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.

60D R² is high (0.41). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

180D R² is low (0.08), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.

Indicator Trends

Volume is below its 14 day average and is falling versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is above its 14 day average, suggesting volatility is expanding versus the recent baseline.

ATR percent is above its 14 day average, so daily ranges are wider than the recent baseline.

RSI is above its 14 day average and improving versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.

Funding is below its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

This asset has been strongly index-linked historically, so regime context from the index is more reliable for framing risk.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.001345. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.00052. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.000995 0.001065 0.001094 0.001932 40.56 -0.00 -16.60 unavailable 33.67 113.55 unavailable 2353070 0.00043527 4.46 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.000985 0.001048 0.001089 0.001927 39.80 -0.00 -19.33 unavailable 34.62 97.34 unavailable 2426943 0.00005000 4.37 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.000946 0.001029 0.001083 0.001922 36.90 -0.00 -22.52 unavailable 35.40 98.01 unavailable 2384833 0.00005000 4.26 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.000869 0.001011 0.001078 0.001915 31.95 -0.00 -22.06 unavailable 38.38 98.10 unavailable 2279044 0.00005000 3.81 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.000857 0.000990 0.001072 0.001908 31.24 -0.00 -25.93 unavailable 41.14 76.25 unavailable 2066614 0.00005000 3.75 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.000711 0.000960 0.001064 0.001897 24.24 -0.00 -36.86 unavailable 48.79 90.76 unavailable 2041047 0.00005000 3.78 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.000651 0.000929 0.001054 0.001887 22.06 -0.00 -39.61 unavailable 57.27 92.55 unavailable 1655281 0.00005000 3.87 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.000738 0.000910 0.001048 0.001879 31.68 -0.00 -26.93 unavailable 59.04 105.93 unavailable 1483443 0.00005000 4.03 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.000748 0.000895 0.001041 0.001871 32.71 -0.00 -21.92 unavailable 58.82 104.11 unavailable 1701573 0.00005000 4.42 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.000734 0.000875 0.001035 0.001863 31.98 -0.00 -27.25 unavailable 60.88 101.19 unavailable 1640981 0.00005000 3.60 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.000640 0.000849 0.001028 0.001853 27.56 -0.00 -37.01 unavailable 64.08 108.16 unavailable 1587361 0.00005000 4.12 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.000720 0.000827 0.001024 0.001844 35.71 -0.00 -29.27 unavailable 63.66 118.30 unavailable 1345455 0.00005000 4.41 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.000701 0.000805 0.001019 0.001836 34.71 -0.00 -31.14 unavailable 64.09 117.24 unavailable 1538774 0.00005000 4.15 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.000670 0.000783 0.001014 0.001828 33.08 -0.00 -30.86 unavailable 66.30 117.62 unavailable 1500236 0.00011017 4.80 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.000670 0.000760 0.001009 0.001821 33.14 -0.00 -32.61 unavailable 68.72 117.78 unavailable 1459600 0.00005000 5.23 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.