HMSTR Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.000176 365D range: 0.000148 to 0.002923 Key levels (55D): 0.000148 / 0.000371 MA14: 0.000192 MA50: 0.000221 MA200: 0.000444 Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-02-06) Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.0001761 (3.65% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.0001478 (support) and 0.0003712 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-02-06.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the lower part of that range.

The close is below MA14 (0.0001925), a short-term pivot.

The close is below MA50 (0.0002208), a medium-term guide.

The close is below MA200 (0.0004438), a long-horizon anchor level.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is HIGH. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 13.33% ATR and 52.98% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is -0.40.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is -2.59% over 1 day and -22.37% over 7 days.

Funding is 0.000050 and long/short ratio is 1.60.

Intent read: De-risking. Open interest has been shrinking, which suggests leverage is being reduced.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is moderate (0.46). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

180D correlation is strong (0.60), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.

60D beta is normal (0.81). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

180D beta is normal (1.05), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.

60D R² is medium (0.21). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

180D R² is high (0.36), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.

Indicator Trends

Volume is below its 14 day average and is falling versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is above its 14 day average, suggesting volatility is expanding versus the recent baseline.

ATR percent is below its 14 day average, so daily ranges have been narrowing versus recent conditions.

RSI is below its 14 day average and weakening versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.

Funding is above its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.0003712. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.0001478. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.000278 0.000239 0.000227 0.000489 62.51 0.00 19.25 unavailable 25.21 136.00 unavailable 1795902 0.00005000 2.07 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.000233 0.000237 0.000227 0.000486 49.19 -0.00 -8.17 unavailable 25.40 147.57 unavailable 3686347 -0.00001628 1.86 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.000221 0.000235 0.000227 0.000483 46.58 -0.00 -10.72 unavailable 26.12 148.64 unavailable 2870663 0.00000460 1.94 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.000212 0.000233 0.000227 0.000481 44.35 -0.00 -12.12 unavailable 27.89 149.56 unavailable 2476440 0.00005000 1.53 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.000212 0.000230 0.000227 0.000478 44.47 -0.00 -15.43 unavailable 28.32 149.50 unavailable 2124120 0.00003634 1.66 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.000194 0.000226 0.000227 0.000475 40.27 -0.00 -24.57 unavailable 32.34 152.11 unavailable 1958537 0.00004008 1.67 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.000187 0.000222 0.000226 0.000472 38.80 -0.00 -22.33 unavailable 36.92 152.24 unavailable 1788370 0.00000575 1.39 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.000189 0.000219 0.000226 0.000469 39.63 -0.00 -18.45 unavailable 39.28 152.34 unavailable 1707146 0.00002972 1.52 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.000187 0.000217 0.000226 0.000465 39.13 -0.00 -14.88 unavailable 41.63 146.95 unavailable 1672350 -0.00017192 1.54 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.000189 0.000214 0.000225 0.000462 39.98 -0.00 -17.95 unavailable 43.55 147.09 unavailable 1584741 0.00003691 1.52 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.000166 0.000210 0.000225 0.000458 34.40 -0.00 -25.83 unavailable 47.76 152.43 unavailable 1474093 0.00001501 1.74 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.000182 0.000206 0.000224 0.000454 40.71 -0.00 -19.72 unavailable 47.33 156.55 unavailable 1340721 0.00004534 1.80 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.000177 0.000203 0.000222 0.000450 39.29 -0.00 -22.07 unavailable 48.76 155.84 unavailable 1446973 0.00005000 1.76 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.000170 0.000200 0.000221 0.000447 37.67 -0.00 -19.67 unavailable 51.20 156.16 unavailable 1360469 0.00005000 1.79 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.000176 0.000192 0.000221 0.000444 40.14 -0.00 -36.70 unavailable 52.98 155.76 unavailable 1325196 0.00005000 1.60 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.