Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) Bullish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

HMSTR market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-05-08 | Symbol HMSTR | Last closed price 0.00019
Last closed price
0.00019
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.0001286 to 0.002864
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.0001286 / 0.0002462
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) closed at 0.00019 USDT on May 8, 2026, down 11.05%. The asset now sits in a bullish structure. Price entered this structure after closing above 55-day resistance at 0.000208 USDT on May 7, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.0001286 USDT, with resistance near 0.0002462 USDT. A daily close below MA14 at 0.0001671 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakout Context: 97-Session Compression

Hamster Kombat spent about 97 sessions consolidating below the 0.000208 USDT resistance level before a breakout closed above it. This confirmed the bullish structural transition. The major compression period shows sustained pressure at the resistance level, where repeated attempts failed until buyers took control and pushed the price higher.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

HMSTR is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA9 at 0.0001733 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA200 at 0.0002144 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance. HMSTR recently closed above its prior 55-day high, shifting its structure into a bullish regime. MA50 is rising at +1.31% over 10 days, but MA100 remains at -8.57% over 20 days, showing the breakout has short-to-medium-term moving-average alignment but has not yet pulled longer-term averages higher.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

HMSTR shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 72.4. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest increased sharply +16.90% in one day and moved above its 90-day range. This shows fresh leverage expansion, with new futures exposure now above the highest level from that range.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004009%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.87, sitting near the lower side of its 60-day range at 3.91%. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

HMSTR shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.3931.2240.155Moderate linkage
60D0.450.9250.203Moderate linkage
180D0.4760.7940.227Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

HMSTR is showing wider movement, but participation is not fully backing it. ATR% reads 9.73, near the lower side of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 40.83, near the lower side of its full historical range. Volume Z-score is 0.86, showing normal participation.

Momentum is stronger. RSI is 62.80, ROC14 is +21.17%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. HMSTR has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For HMSTR, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying above MA14 at 0.0001671 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close below MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break below 55-day support at 0.0001286 USDT would establish a bearish regime.

Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) Historical Chart and Market Context

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Chart Description

The Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for HMSTR?+

HMSTR is currently in a bullish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as an accepted move above the prior 55-day range until structure weakens.

What are the key support and resistance levels for HMSTR?+

HMSTR's nearest support is MA9 near 0.0001733 USDT, while nearest resistance is MA200 near 0.0002144 USDT. These levels come from nearest daily moving average below price and nearest daily moving average above price.

What would change the current HMSTR structure?+

The bullish structure would weaken if HMSTR loses its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A deeper defensive shift would need a close below 55-day support near 0.0001286 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for HMSTR?+

HMSTR's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 62.80, ROC14 is +21.17%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for HMSTR?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed +16.90% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.87.

How correlated is HMSTR with Bitcoin?+

HMSTR currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.21, beta is 0.75, and R² is 0.04.

Is Sigloid's HMSTR analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily HMSTR analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.