Price Position and Structural State
Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) closed at 0.0001699 USDT on August 30, 2026, down 4.34%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.0001368 USDT, with resistance near 0.0003936 USDT. A daily close below 0.0001368 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
HMSTR is trading below all key moving averages. MA200 at 0.0001715 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 6.46% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -65.09% to 115.38%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
HMSTR shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 37.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -5.90% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 90-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005000%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.73, sitting near the upper side of its 60-day range at 84.67%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
HMSTR shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.373 | 0.688 | 0.139 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.287 | 1.215 | 0.082 | Weak linkage |
| 180D | 0.238 | 0.773 | 0.057 | Weak linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
HMSTR remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 9.91, near the lower side of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 13.18, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.59, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 43.10, ROC14 is -1.11%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is simple: volatility is compressed and momentum is not strong enough yet. A better signal would need range expansion with stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. HMSTR has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For HMSTR, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.0004097 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.0001368 USDT confirms a bearish regime.