Price Position and Structural State
Mina Protocol (MINA) closed at 0.05557 USDT on May 29, 2026, down 0.09%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.05281 USDT, with resistance near 0.07239 USDT. A daily close below 0.05281 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
MINA is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.056374 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 7.52% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -41.55% to 90.90%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
MINA shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 13.7. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +2.81% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.
Funding is negative on the 24-hour average at -0.008534%, with the 7-day average also negative at -0.004394%. This shows sustained short-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.74, sitting near the upper side of its 180-day range at 86.28%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
MINA remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that MINA moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting MINA. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.83 | 1.334 | 0.689 | Strong, high beta |
| 60D | 0.67 | 0.997 | 0.449 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.746 | 0.919 | 0.557 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
MINA's bands are opening, but the move still lacks full support. Bollinger Band width% reads 29.84, close to the top of its 90-day range. ATR% reads 5.66, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.47, showing near-normal participation.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 39.80, ROC14 is -8.25%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. MINA stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For MINA, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.07239 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.05281 USDT confirms a bearish regime.