Price Position and Structural State
Mira (MIRA) closed at 0.04194 USDT on July 14, 2026, up 1.82%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.03957 USDT, with resistance near 0.08769 USDT. A daily close below 0.03957 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
MIRA is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.043874 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 22.09% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -55.31% to 10.40%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
MIRA shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 42.1. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -5.84% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 30-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.003152%, while the 7-day average is -0.008670%. This shows fresh long-side cost pressure rather than a sustained build across the week.
The long/short ratio is 1.00 and has moved below its 90-day range. This means short accounts dominate, with the long/short reading near the low side of recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
MIRA shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.515 | 0.957 | 0.265 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.636 | 1.052 | 0.404 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.651 | 0.968 | 0.424 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
MIRA remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 9.61, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 29.62, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.53, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +2.89%, while RSI is 38.41.
The read is early: some pressure is improving, but the asset remains compressed. A better signal would need range expansion and stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. MIRA has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For MIRA, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.08769 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.03957 USDT confirms a bearish regime.