OPEN Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.162200 365D range: 0.132700 to 1.89 Key levels (55D): 0.132700 / 0.219800 MA14: 0.158193 MA50: 0.164488 MA200: unavailable Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-01-12) Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.1622 (3.12% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.1327 (support) and 0.2198 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-01-12.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the lower part of that range.

The close is above MA14 (0.158193), a short-term pivot.

The close is below MA50 (0.164488), a medium-term guide.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is HIGH. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 11.26% ATR and 22.56% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is -0.34.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is -1.46% over 1 day and -4.86% over 7 days.

Funding is 0.000050 and long/short ratio is 1.06.

Intent read: De-risking. Open interest has been shrinking, which suggests leverage is being reduced.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is strong (0.60). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

60D beta is normal (0.94). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

60D R² is high (0.36). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

Indicator Trends

Volume is below its 14 day average and is falling versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is below its 14 day average, pointing to volatility compression.

ATR percent is below its 14 day average, so daily ranges have been narrowing versus recent conditions.

RSI is above its 14 day average and improving versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.

Funding is above its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

This asset has been strongly index-linked historically, so regime context from the index is more reliable for framing risk.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.2198. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.1327. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.170500 0.165771 0.173638 unavailable 50.59 0.00 4.99 unavailable 25.02 121.33 unavailable 2043127 0.00005000 1.97 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.163700 0.165314 0.172622 unavailable 48.12 0.00 -3.76 unavailable 24.72 121.77 unavailable 2328375 0.00005000 1.81 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.160400 0.164100 0.171348 unavailable 46.92 0.00 -9.58 unavailable 24.93 121.95 unavailable 2075623 0.00005000 1.87 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.148200 0.162379 0.170070 unavailable 42.67 -0.00 -13.99 unavailable 26.69 123.57 unavailable 2042914 0.00005000 1.66 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.160500 0.161100 0.169134 unavailable 47.80 0.00 -10.03 unavailable 26.69 124.11 unavailable 1981036 0.00005000 1.34 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.147700 0.159071 0.168082 unavailable 43.45 -0.00 -16.13 unavailable 28.15 126.77 unavailable 2261801 0.00005000 1.28 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.151200 0.157564 0.167032 unavailable 44.92 -0.00 -12.25 unavailable 28.97 125.67 unavailable 2051478 0.00005000 1.54 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.164900 0.157807 0.166510 unavailable 50.38 0.00 2.11 unavailable 28.75 129.51 unavailable 2164795 0.00005000 1.56 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.161000 0.158786 0.166120 unavailable 48.90 0.00 9.30 unavailable 27.60 129.77 unavailable 2312339 0.00003642 1.49 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.165500 0.159786 0.165762 unavailable 50.70 0.00 9.24 unavailable 27.09 129.79 unavailable 2228929 0.00005000 1.50 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.149800 0.159936 0.165320 unavailable 44.76 0.00 1.42 unavailable 26.12 133.64 unavailable 2367725 0.00005000 1.46 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.163300 0.160414 0.165388 unavailable 50.17 0.00 4.28 unavailable 24.59 136.89 unavailable 2084689 0.00005000 1.18 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.159000 0.158493 0.165166 unavailable 48.54 0.00 -14.47 unavailable 23.49 136.33 unavailable 2180973 0.00005000 1.35 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.157300 0.158786 0.164768 unavailable 47.88 0.00 2.68 unavailable 23.46 136.38 unavailable 2090232 -0.00007904 1.35 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.162200 0.158193 0.164488 unavailable 49.99 0.00 -4.87 unavailable 22.56 136.64 unavailable 2059620 0.00005000 1.06 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.