Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09
Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.
Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.
As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 5,035.20 (-0.10% vs the prior close).
55 day range levels are 4,292.85 (support) and 5,632.76 (resistance).
Asset state is BULLISH, active since 2026-01-12.
Breakout level (acceptance line) is 4,575.94.
Acceptance is intact. The close is above the breakout level (4,575.94), so the bullish state remains active by definition.
The close is above MA14 (5,014.58), a short-term pivot.
The close is above MA200 (4,059.69), a long-horizon anchor level.
Friction is HIGH. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.
Volatility is 3.98% ATR and 16.35% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is -0.53.
Open interest is 0.67% over 1 day and -3.82% over 7 days.
Funding is 0.000050 and long/short ratio is 1.76.
Intent read: Follow-through. The active state is still being respected by the close.
60D correlation is moderate (0.34). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.
180D correlation is weak (0.24), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.
60D beta is low (0.21). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.
180D beta is low (0.10), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.
60D R² is medium (0.12). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.
180D R² is low (0.06), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.
Volume is below its 14 day average and is falling versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.
Bollinger width is below its 14 day average, pointing to volatility compression.
ATR percent is above its 14 day average, so daily ranges are wider than the recent baseline.
RSI is below its 14 day average and weakening versus the last two weeks.
MACD histogram is below its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.
Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.
Funding is above its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.
Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.
Alignment is against. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.
System definition: the bullish state remains active only while the daily close stays above 4,575.94. A close back under that level returns the state to SIDEWAYS.
| date | close | ma14 | ma50 | ma200 | rsi14 | macd_hist | roc14 | atr_pct | bb_width_pct | rv30 | vol_z20 | oi_usdt | funding_last | ls_ratio | basis_pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | 5055.59 | 4800.19 | 4515.20 | 3944.10 | 84.51 | 38.84 | 9.61 | unavailable | 17.18 | 24.25 | unavailable | 150358911 | -0.00010547 | 1.20 | unavailable |
| 2026-01-27 | 5190.63 | 4842.13 | 4534.98 | 3953.31 | 87.76 | 41.83 | 12.75 | unavailable | 18.45 | 25.33 | unavailable | 143787044 | 0.00005000 | 1.22 | unavailable |
| 2026-01-28 | 5537.49 | 4907.20 | 4561.44 | 3964.23 | 92.25 | 62.44 | 19.69 | unavailable | 22.39 | 28.64 | unavailable | 155308111 | -0.00000580 | 1.10 | unavailable |
| 2026-01-29 | 5473.90 | 4968.09 | 4586.18 | 3974.83 | 86.02 | 66.68 | 18.45 | unavailable | 24.43 | 29.27 | unavailable | 172087072 | -0.00003979 | 1.25 | unavailable |
| 2026-01-30 | 4920.80 | 4990.99 | 4598.95 | 3982.69 | 52.67 | 29.05 | 6.97 | unavailable | 23.53 | 47.31 | unavailable | 172001800 | 0.00005000 | 1.60 | unavailable |
| 2026-01-31 | 4838.83 | 5007.41 | 4609.59 | 3990.19 | 49.60 | -2.85 | 4.99 | unavailable | 22.64 | 47.86 | unavailable | 167714332 | 0.00005000 | 1.98 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-01 | 4752.53 | 5012.33 | 4618.34 | 3997.20 | 46.53 | -29.77 | 1.47 | unavailable | 22.17 | 48.35 | unavailable | 157546281 | 0.00005000 | 1.97 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-02 | 4792.74 | 5020.30 | 4627.90 | 4004.45 | 48.14 | -44.00 | 2.38 | unavailable | 21.54 | 48.38 | unavailable | 151315281 | 0.00004416 | 2.01 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-03 | 4960.65 | 5031.34 | 4640.83 | 4012.51 | 54.33 | -41.28 | 3.22 | unavailable | 20.84 | 49.57 | unavailable | 150123824 | 0.00005000 | 2.11 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-04 | 5029.24 | 5047.92 | 4655.01 | 4020.87 | 56.61 | -34.34 | 4.84 | unavailable | 20.06 | 49.57 | unavailable | 137448917 | 0.00005000 | 1.88 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-05 | 4698.96 | 5028.00 | 4661.87 | 4027.59 | 44.97 | -50.48 | -5.60 | unavailable | 19.56 | 54.94 | unavailable | 133638573 | 0.00005000 | 1.83 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-06 | 4942.77 | 5023.55 | 4673.80 | 4035.32 | 52.70 | -43.49 | -1.24 | unavailable | 18.46 | 57.44 | unavailable | 137538586 | 0.00005000 | 1.75 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-07 | 4990.32 | 5018.14 | 4686.62 | 4043.15 | 54.06 | -34.80 | -1.49 | unavailable | 17.67 | 57.47 | unavailable | 138280211 | 0.00005000 | 1.86 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-08 | 5040.07 | 5016.04 | 4700.42 | 4051.38 | 55.50 | -25.27 | -0.58 | unavailable | 16.75 | 57.50 | unavailable | 144573017 | 0.00004996 | 1.81 | unavailable |
| 2026-02-09 | 5035.20 | 5014.58 | 4713.80 | 4059.69 | 55.31 | -19.15 | -0.40 | unavailable | 16.35 | 57.53 | unavailable | 145535596 | 0.00005000 | 1.76 | unavailable |
Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.
Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.