Plume (PLUME) Bullish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

PLUME market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-10-15 | Symbol PLUME | Last closed price 0.02104
Last closed price
0.02104
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.00851 to 0.08165
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.01085 / 0.02412
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Plume (PLUME) closed at 0.02104 USDT on October 15, 2026, up 6.42%. The asset now sits in a bullish structure. Price entered this structure after closing above 55-day resistance at 0.02134 USDT on October 11, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.01085 USDT, with resistance near 0.02412 USDT. A daily close below MA14 at 0.019431 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakout Context: 306-Session Compression

Plume spent about 306 sessions consolidating below the 0.02134 USDT resistance level before a breakout closed above it. This confirmed the bullish structural transition. The major compression period shows sustained pressure at the resistance level, where repeated attempts failed until buyers took control and pushed the price higher.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

PLUME is trading above all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.019794 USDT stands as the first moving-average support area to watch. The more meaningful signal is how far price has moved from its moving-average base: PLUME sits 29.93% above MA50, while its historical range runs from -63.58% to 45.13%. Price is now approaching the upper end of that historical range, which can create resistance pressure driven by extension rather than by a fixed level.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

PLUME shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 45.2. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -3.24% in one day, showing clear position reduction. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.002091%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.003482%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 1.57, sitting near the upper side of its 90-day range at 90.08%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

PLUME shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaR²Read
30D0.5531.2840.306Moderate linkage
60D0.5821.0320.339Moderate linkage
180D0.5041.0360.254Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

PLUME is moving more day to day, but participation remains weak. ATR% reads 9.61, near the lower side of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 27.76, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.16.

Momentum is stronger. RSI is 61.30, ROC14 is +14.47%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. PLUME has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For PLUME, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying above MA14 at 0.019431 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close below MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break below 55-day support at 0.01085 USDT would establish a bearish regime.

Plume (PLUME) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Plume (PLUME) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for PLUME?+

PLUME is currently in a bullish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as an accepted move above the prior 55-day range until structure weakens.

What are the key support and resistance levels for PLUME?+

PLUME's nearest support is MA9 near 0.019794 USDT, while nearest resistance is monthly MA14 near 0.022749 USDT. These levels come from nearest daily moving average below price and nearest monthly moving average above price.

What would change the current PLUME structure?+

The bullish structure would weaken if PLUME loses its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A deeper defensive shift would need a close below 55-day support near 0.01085 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for PLUME?+

PLUME's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 61.30, ROC14 is +14.47%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for PLUME?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -3.24% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.57.

How correlated is PLUME with Bitcoin?+

PLUME currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.44, beta is 1.40, and R² is 0.20.

Is Sigloid's PLUME analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily PLUME analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.