WAXP Daily Analysis Explained

Closed-candle research summary • Updated 2026-02-09

Last close: 0.007043 365D range: 0.005701 to 0.034320 Key levels (55D): 0.005701 / 0.009447 MA14: 0.007247 MA50: 0.007996 MA200: 0.013610 Asset state: SIDEWAYS (since 2026-02-06) Sigloid Index: Bias BEARISH • Regime BEARISH (2026-02-09)

Daily Analysis Explained

Built from closed daily candles only. It summarizes what the recent data shows using the latest confirmed close, not predictions.

Use it to understand the asset’s state, key levels, and how it has behaved relative to the Sigloid Index.

Price Structure and Asset State

As of the most recent closed session (2026-02-09), the close is 0.007043 (4.48% vs the prior close).

55 day range levels are 0.005701 (support) and 0.009447 (resistance).

Asset state is SIDEWAYS, active since 2026-02-06.

State Monitoring and Trend References

Price is inside the 55 day range and currently sits in the middle part of that range.

The close is below MA14 (0.0072474), a short-term pivot.

The close is below MA50 (0.0079957), a medium-term guide.

The close is below MA200 (0.01361), a long-horizon anchor level.

Price Behavior and Friction

Friction is MEDIUM. This is a read of effort versus progress using multi-day candle quality and volatility behavior.

Volatility is 8.81% ATR and 36.92% Bollinger width. Relative volume signal (Z20) is 0.04.

Participation and Positioning

Open interest is -8.71% over 1 day and -11.10% over 7 days.

Funding is -0.000079 and long/short ratio is 2.32.

Intent read: De-risking. Open interest has been shrinking, which suggests leverage is being reduced.

Asset Sensitivity to the Sigloid Index

60D correlation is strong (0.78). Correlation describes how consistently this asset moves in the same direction as the index.

180D correlation is strong (0.79), which helps confirm whether the relationship holds over a longer window.

60D beta is normal (0.82). Beta measures sensitivity: above 1 means amplified moves relative to the index, below 1 means muted moves.

180D beta is normal (0.85), a longer-horizon view of that sensitivity.

60D R² is high (0.60). R² is a reliability check: higher means more of this asset’s moves were explained by the index during the window.

180D R² is high (0.62), which reduces the risk of over-reading a short sample.

Indicator Trends

Volume is above its 14 day average and is rising versus recent norms, which frames participation quality.

Bollinger width is above its 14 day average, suggesting volatility is expanding versus the recent baseline.

ATR percent is above its 14 day average, so daily ranges are wider than the recent baseline.

RSI is above its 14 day average and improving versus the last two weeks.

MACD histogram is above its 14 day average, a simple check on short-term momentum bias.

Open interest is below its 14 day average, which suggests leverage has been unwinding versus the recent baseline.

Funding is above its 14 day average, which helps flag crowding risk when it rises without matching price progress.

Regime Alignment

Sigloid Index bias is BEARISH (primary regime: BEARISH), active since 2026-02-09.

Alignment is mixed. Aligned conditions tend to be easier to sustain. Mixed or against conditions tend to be more fragile.

This asset has been strongly index-linked historically, so regime context from the index is more reliable for framing risk.

What Would Change the Asset State

System definition: BULLISH only on a daily close above 0.009447. BEARISH only on a daily close below 0.005701. Otherwise the state is SIDEWAYS.

Indicators, last 15 closed days

dateclosema14ma50ma200rsi14macd_histroc14atr_pctbb_width_pctrv30vol_z20oi_usdtfunding_lastls_ratiobasis_pct
2026-01-26 0.008190 0.008536 0.008256 0.014755 46.17 -0.00 -2.55 unavailable 15.23 58.42 unavailable 1018997 0.00005000 2.12 unavailable
2026-01-27 0.008236 0.008496 0.008241 0.014685 46.89 -0.00 -6.37 unavailable 15.54 58.42 unavailable 1119305 0.00005000 2.05 unavailable
2026-01-28 0.008092 0.008440 0.008221 0.014611 44.88 -0.00 -8.90 unavailable 15.57 58.74 unavailable 1097206 0.00002666 2.02 unavailable
2026-01-29 0.007595 0.008370 0.008193 0.014534 38.70 -0.00 -11.44 unavailable 17.71 62.65 unavailable 1055639 0.00001334 2.14 unavailable
2026-01-30 0.007509 0.008280 0.008166 0.014456 37.73 -0.00 -14.29 unavailable 19.81 62.71 unavailable 967417 -0.00023285 2.25 unavailable
2026-01-31 0.007108 0.008134 0.008136 0.014372 33.53 -0.00 -22.43 unavailable 23.91 63.70 unavailable 1015465 -0.00019238 2.32 unavailable
2026-02-01 0.007107 0.008022 0.008103 0.014289 33.52 -0.00 -17.95 unavailable 27.26 62.88 unavailable 973342 -0.00027107 2.30 unavailable
2026-02-02 0.007313 0.007948 0.008083 0.014206 37.66 -0.00 -12.43 unavailable 28.56 63.88 unavailable 974735 -0.00012951 1.95 unavailable
2026-02-03 0.007632 0.007925 0.008077 0.014126 43.52 -0.00 -4.10 unavailable 28.22 65.73 unavailable 1020648 -0.00050102 1.97 unavailable
2026-02-04 0.007283 0.007859 0.008066 0.014042 39.18 -0.00 -11.31 unavailable 29.33 67.16 unavailable 1066186 -0.00013636 1.78 unavailable
2026-02-05 0.006195 0.007698 0.008039 0.013950 29.35 -0.00 -26.58 unavailable 34.99 82.77 unavailable 961320 -0.00044293 1.99 unavailable
2026-02-06 0.006767 0.007549 0.008032 0.013860 38.14 -0.00 -23.66 unavailable 34.65 88.78 unavailable 869301 -0.00023467 2.27 unavailable
2026-02-07 0.006843 0.007425 0.008020 0.013769 39.22 -0.00 -20.25 unavailable 35.14 88.36 unavailable 938511 0.00005000 2.30 unavailable
2026-02-08 0.006741 0.007329 0.008004 0.013686 38.25 -0.00 -16.50 unavailable 36.31 88.39 unavailable 949225 -0.00042708 2.36 unavailable
2026-02-09 0.007043 0.007247 0.007996 0.013610 42.75 -0.00 -14.00 unavailable 36.92 90.25 unavailable 866549 -0.00007931 2.32 unavailable

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.