Walmart Inc. (WMT) Range-Bound Price Structure, Support and Resistance

WMT market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-07-08 | Symbol WMT | Last closed price 113.02
Last closed price
113.02
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
107.26 to 135.97
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
107.26 / 135.97
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Walmart Inc. (WMT) closed at 113.02 USDT on July 8, 2026, up 0.89%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 107.26 USDT, with resistance near 135.97 USDT. A daily close below 107.26 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

WMT is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA14 at 112.942 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA20 at 114.381 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

WMT shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 42.8. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -7.68% in one day but remains near the upper side of its 30-day range. This shows leverage is still elevated, even though some positions were reduced.

Funding is near neutral across the 24-hour and 7-day averages, at 0.000000% and 0.000000%. This shows limited cost pressure on either side, so funding is not giving a strong directional signal right now.

The long/short ratio is 3.21, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

WMT shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D-0.075-0.040.006Inverse linkage
60DNot enough data
180DNot enough data

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

WMT's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 2.13, near the middle of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 10.31, near the middle of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.21. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.

MACD histogram has turned positive, while RSI is 44.56 and ROC14 is -3.33%. Short-term impulse is trying to turn first, but broader momentum and acceleration still lag.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. WMT has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For WMT, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at unavailable establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at unavailable confirms a bearish regime.

Walmart Inc. (WMT) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Walmart Inc. (WMT) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for WMT?+

WMT is currently in a sideways structure based on closed daily data. Price remains inside the 55-day range, so Sigloid treats the structure as unresolved.

What are the key support and resistance levels for WMT?+

WMT's nearest support is MA14 near 112.942 USDT, while nearest resistance is MA20 near 114.381 USDT. These levels come from nearest daily moving average below price and nearest daily moving average above price.

What would change the current WMT structure?+

A daily close above 55-day resistance near unavailable would support a bullish shift. A daily close below 55-day support near unavailable would support a bearish shift.

What do momentum and volatility show for WMT?+

WMT's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 44.56, ROC14 is -3.33%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for WMT?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -7.68% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 3.21.

How correlated is WMT with Bitcoin?+

WMT currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.05, beta is 0.04, and R² is 0.00.

Is Sigloid's WMT analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily WMT analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.