Price Position and Structural State
Yield Guild Games (YGG) closed at 0.02136 USDT on July 16, 2026, down 2.64%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.02064 USDT, with resistance near 0.03934 USDT. A daily close below 0.02064 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
YGG is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.021668 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 15.80% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -50.16% to 115.57%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
YGG shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 36.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -1.60% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.001883%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.003684%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.93, sitting near the upper side of its 180-day range at 93.20%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
YGG remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that YGG moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting YGG. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.828 | 1.069 | 0.685 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.818 | 1.208 | 0.669 | Strong, high beta |
| 180D | 0.726 | 1.019 | 0.526 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
YGG remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 6.46, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 12.18, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.66, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
MACD histogram has turned positive, while RSI is 37.45 and ROC14 is -5.61%. Short-term impulse is trying to turn first, but broader momentum and acceleration still lag.
The read is early: some pressure is improving, but the asset remains compressed. A better signal would need range expansion and stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. YGG stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For YGG, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.03948 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.02064 USDT confirms a bearish regime.