Price Position and Structural State
Across Protocol (ACX) closed at 0.04145 USDT on July 16, 2026, down 0.14%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.0371 USDT, with resistance near 0.04432 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
ACX is trading below all key moving averages, but the weakness is still early rather than deeply stretched. MA50 at 0.041673 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to reclaim. Price sits 0.54% below MA50, within a historical range of -40.99% to 57.53%. The structure is bearish, but downside extension remains inside its normal range.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
ACX shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 21.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +2.20% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005000%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.64, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
ACX shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.588 | 0.675 | 0.346 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.555 | 0.507 | 0.308 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.353 | 0.609 | 0.125 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
ACX remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 3.62, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 5.75, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.90, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
Momentum is mixed. RSI is 47.64, ROC14 is -2.49%, and MACD histogram does not confirm a clean direction. Indicator pressure remains uneven.
The read is simple: volatility is compressed and momentum is not strong enough yet. A better signal would need range expansion with stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. ACX has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For ACX, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.04432 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.0371 USDT confirms a bearish regime.