Price Position and Structural State
Alpine F1 Team Fan Token (ALPINE) closed at 0.3996 USDT on May 29, 2026, down 1.91%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.3857 USDT, with resistance near 0.5258 USDT. A daily close below 0.3857 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
ALPINE is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.407989 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 9.67% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -63.21% to 206.90%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
ALPINE shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 35.6. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +0.70% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 30-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004678%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.43 and has moved below its 30-day range. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
ALPINE remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that ALPINE moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting ALPINE. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.788 | 1.329 | 0.62 | Strong, high beta |
| 60D | 0.617 | 0.832 | 0.381 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.658 | 0.69 | 0.433 | Strong, lower beta |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
ALPINE is showing wider movement, but participation is not fully backing it. ATR% reads 5.85, close to the bottom of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 32.26, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.65, showing slightly above-normal participation.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 38.96, ROC14 is -8.81%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. ALPINE stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For ALPINE, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.5258 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.3857 USDT confirms a bearish regime.