Price Position and Structural State
Alpine F1 Team Fan Token (ALPINE) closed at 0.3279 USDT on July 16, 2026, up 1.64%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.292 USDT, with resistance near 0.4394 USDT. A daily close below 0.292 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
ALPINE is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA14 at 0.316879 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA50 at 0.3389 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
ALPINE shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 39.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -0.57% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.001862%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 2.36 and has moved below its 180-day range. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
ALPINE remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that ALPINE moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting ALPINE. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.668 | 0.815 | 0.447 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.737 | 0.818 | 0.543 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.728 | 0.744 | 0.53 | Strong, lower beta |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
ALPINE is moving more day to day, but participation remains weak. ATR% reads 6.74, close to the bottom of its full historical range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 11.11, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.32.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +3.47%, while RSI is 52.37.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. ALPINE stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For ALPINE, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.44 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.292 USDT confirms a bearish regime.