Price Position and Structural State
AS Roma Fan Token (ASR) closed at 0.883 USDT on August 29, 2026, down 0.56%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.798 USDT, with resistance near 0.967 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
ASR is trading inside a zone of moving-average confluence. MA20 at 0.87725 USDT sits just below price, while MA14 at 0.885357 USDT sits just above. The compression across multiple moving averages signals range contraction rather than trend dominance. The next meaningful read comes from price separating cleanly from this cluster.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
ASR shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 29.2. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -2.75% in one day but remains near the upper side of its 60-day range. This shows leverage is still elevated, even though some positions were reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005575%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005854%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.45, sitting near the upper side of its 180-day range at 85.42%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
ASR shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.583 | 0.337 | 0.34 | Moderate linkage |
| 60D | 0.557 | 0.403 | 0.31 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.328 | 0.417 | 0.108 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
ASR's bands are opening, but the move still lacks full support. Bollinger Band width% reads 11.96, close to the bottom of its full historical range. ATR% reads 4.09, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.89, showing slightly below-normal participation.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +3.76%, while RSI is 51.07.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. ASR has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For ASR, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.967 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.798 USDT confirms a bearish regime.