Price Position and Structural State
Vaulta (A) closed at 0.09709 USDT on October 15, 2026, down 6.19%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the top of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.07051 USDT, with resistance near 0.10933 USDT. A daily close above 0.10933 USDT would confirm an upside regime shift. A rejection near resistance would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
A is trading below short-term moving averages while still holding above longer-term support. MA20 at 0.09939 USDT may cap short-term recovery attempts, while MA50 at 0.089087 USDT remains the more significant structural support area. The structure resembles a pullback within a broader trend more than a full trend failure.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
A shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 54.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest increased +4.89% in one day and remains near the upper side of its 180-day range. This shows leverage is elevated and still building.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.003853%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.59, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
A remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that A moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting A. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.638 | 1.176 | 0.407 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.646 | 0.97 | 0.417 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.615 | 0.944 | 0.379 | Strong linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
A is moving more from day to day, but the broader volatility envelope has not fully opened. ATR% reads 7.63, above its 90-day range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 13.42, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 1.13.
ROC14 is +1.12%, while RSI is 50.90 and MACD histogram remains negative. Multi-day acceleration has improved, but the broader momentum picture is still incomplete.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. A stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For A, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.10933 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.06866 USDT confirms a bearish regime.