Price Position and Structural State
COSTUSDT (COST) closed at 922.79 USDT on July 14, 2026, down 0.37%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 908.63 USDT, with resistance near 994.51 USDT. A daily close below 908.63 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
COST is trading below the available moving averages. MA9 at 928.74 USDT stands as the first resistance area to watch. Long-term moving-average history is still forming, so the most reliable reads come from current price structure and shorter-term moving-average resistance. Once MA100 and MA200 establish, the trend read will carry more historical context.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
COST shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 35.4. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest data is limited for this asset, so the leverage range cannot be judged reliably yet. This makes futures participation harder to compare with recent history.
Funding is near neutral across the 24-hour and 7-day averages, at 0.000000% and +0.000255%. This shows limited cost pressure on either side, so funding is not giving a strong directional signal right now.
The long/short ratio is 1.67, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
COST shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.209 | 0.088 | 0.043 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | — | — | — | Not enough data |
| 180D | — | — | — | Not enough data |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
COST's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 1.79, near the middle of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 5.80, near the middle of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.18. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Momentum is mixed. RSI is 45.92, ROC14 is -1.56%, and MACD histogram does not confirm a clean direction. Indicator pressure remains uneven.
The read is incomplete, so support, resistance, and the daily close matter more than the indicator setup.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. COST has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For COST, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at unavailable establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at unavailable confirms a bearish regime.