Alien Worlds (TLM) Bearish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

TLM market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-05-29 | Symbol TLM | Last closed price 0.001437
Last closed price
0.001437
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
0.001297 to 0.006146
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
0.001297 / 0.002215
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Alien Worlds (TLM) closed at 0.001437 USDT on May 29, 2026, up 4.89%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 0.001533 USDT on May 22, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.001297 USDT, with resistance near 0.002215 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 0.0015838 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakdown Context: several-Session Support Pressure

Alien Worlds spent about several sessions consolidating above the 0.001533 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

TLM is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.0014711 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 18.94% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -46.57% to 77.46%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

TLM shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 37.5. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -2.14% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004453%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004480%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.

The long/short ratio is 3.39, sitting near the upper side of its 180-day range at 98.73%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

TLM remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta indicating higher sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that TLM moves in line with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. Elevated beta means price tends to amplify broader market moves rather than simply track them. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.6631.5450.44Strong, high beta
60D0.6031.0290.363Strong linkage
180D0.5710.7740.326Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

TLM is trading with expanding volatility. ATR% reads 8.01, close to the top of its 60-day range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 58.80, above its 180-day range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 2.19, showing strong above-normal participation. Range movement, volatility structure, and participation are working together.

Momentum is weaker. RSI is 31.93, ROC14 is -26.04%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.

The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. TLM stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For TLM, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 0.0015838 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 0.002215 USDT would establish a bullish regime.

Alien Worlds (TLM) Historical Chart and Market Context

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Chart Description

The Alien Worlds (TLM) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for TLM?+

TLM is currently in a bearish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as a breakdown below the prior 55-day range until price reclaims structure.

What are the key support and resistance levels for TLM?+

TLM's nearest resistance is MA9 near 0.0014711 USDT. Possible support is near 0.0009473 USDT, estimated from historical downside distance from MA50; ATR% and Bollinger Band width% are already elevated, so extension risk carries more weight. If the asset has limited trading history, this estimate can be less reliable.

What would change the current TLM structure?+

The bearish structure would weaken if TLM reclaims its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A stronger bullish shift would need a close above 55-day resistance near 0.002215 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for TLM?+

TLM's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 31.93, ROC14 is -26.04%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for TLM?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -2.14% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 3.39.

How correlated is TLM with Bitcoin?+

TLM currently shows moderate linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.54, beta is 1.52, and R² is 0.29.

Is Sigloid's TLM analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily TLM analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.