Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Bearish Price Structure, Support and Resistance

CSCO market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-07-16 | Symbol CSCO | Last closed price 110.18
Last closed price
110.18
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
107.59 to 131.97
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
107.59 / 131.97
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) closed at 110.18 USDT on July 16, 2026, down 1.67%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 110.28 USDT on July 16, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 107.59 USDT, with resistance near 131.97 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 115.659 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.

Breakdown Context: several-Session Support Pressure

Cisco Systems, Inc. spent about several sessions consolidating above the 110.28 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

CSCO is trading below all key moving averages. MA20 at 115.512 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. The more notable signal is downside extension: CSCO sits 7.36% below MA50, while its historical range runs from -6.24% to 1.84%. Price has moved beyond the lower side of that historical range, which means the downside move is pronounced but also raises mean-reversion risk from a stretched position.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

CSCO shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 57.0. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest fell -1.43% in one day, showing some exposure was reduced. OI sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so the move reduces leverage from a normal base rather than clearing an already crowded leverage base.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.003568%, while the 7-day average is +0.000709%. This shows fresh long-side cost pressure rather than a sustained build across the week.

The long/short ratio is 1.57, sitting near the lower side of its 30-day range at 13.94%. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

CSCO shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D-0.119-0.1070.014Inverse linkage
60D0.0550.0450.003Weak linkage
180DNot enough data

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

CSCO is showing wider movement, but participation is not fully backing it. ATR% reads 3.41, near the upper side of its 30-day range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 11.81, near the upper side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is 0.46, showing near-normal participation.

Momentum is weaker. RSI is 36.67, ROC14 is -2.04%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.

The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. CSCO has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For CSCO, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 115.659 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 131.97 USDT would establish a bullish regime.

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for CSCO?+

CSCO is currently in a bearish structure based on closed daily data. Sigloid treats this as a breakdown below the prior 55-day range until price reclaims structure.

What would change the current CSCO structure?+

The bearish structure would weaken if CSCO reclaims its key moving-average base or closes back inside the prior range. A stronger bullish shift would need a close above 55-day resistance near 131.97 USDT.

What do momentum and volatility show for CSCO?+

CSCO's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 36.67, ROC14 is -2.04%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for CSCO?+

Open interest and positioning show balanced participation. OI changed -1.43% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 1.57.

How correlated is CSCO with Bitcoin?+

CSCO currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.06, beta is 0.07, and R² is 0.00.

Is Sigloid's CSCO analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily CSCO analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.