Price Position and Structural State
SPACE ID (ID) closed at 0.03275 USDT on August 26, 2026, up 6.99%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.02643 USDT, with resistance near 0.04161 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
ID is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA100 at 0.031345 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA200 at 0.034677 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
ID shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 50.0. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -4.26% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005168%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.67, sitting near the upper side of its 90-day range at 96.16%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
ID shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is strengthening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.622 | 0.802 | 0.387 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.372 | 0.629 | 0.138 | Moderate linkage |
| 180D | 0.414 | 0.911 | 0.172 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
ID's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 6.82, near the lower side of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 22.13, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.43. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.
Momentum is stronger. RSI is 61.32, ROC14 is +15.24%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.
The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a bullish regime, showing broad strength across the market. ID has a moderate link to that market condition, so market strength can still influence price behavior, while asset specific factors also matter.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For ID, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.04161 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.02643 USDT confirms a bearish regime.