Rocket Pool (RPL) Range-Bound Price Structure, Support and Resistance

RPL market structure, key levels, and derivatives interpreted from closed daily data, and explaining its behavior relative to the broader crypto market.

As of 2026-07-15 | Symbol RPL | Last closed price 1.867
Last closed price
1.867
Closed daily candle only, no live price.
365 day range
1.214 to 9.421
Based on the last 365 closed daily candles.
Key levels (55D)
1.214 / 2.667
Support is lower, resistance is upper.

Price Position and Structural State

Rocket Pool (RPL) closed at 1.867 USDT on July 15, 2026, up 7.67%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 1.214 USDT, with resistance near 2.667 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.

Moving Averages and Trend Context

RPL is trading above all key moving averages. MA14 at 1.8179 USDT stands as the first moving-average support area to watch. Price sits 22.19% above MA50, within its historical distance range of -43.74% to 53.47%. The moving-average structure is aligned without showing extreme extension.

Trading Friction and Price Efficiency

RPL shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 46.3. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.

Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning

Open interest increased +3.09% in one day but remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is improving from a low leverage base.

Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004931%, while the 7-day average is -0.005987%. This shows fresh long-side cost pressure rather than a sustained build across the week.

The long/short ratio is 0.66, sitting near the lower side of its 180-day range at 7.24%. This means short accounts dominate, with the long/short reading near the low side of recent history.

Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship

RPL shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.

Correlation, Beta, and R² by Window
Relationship metrics compare this asset with the Sigloid Index across closed daily data windows.
WindowCorrelationBetaRead
30D0.1540.650.024Weak linkage
60D0.3190.8530.102Moderate linkage
180D0.4550.8950.207Moderate linkage

Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure

RPL's volatility profile is controlled rather than stretched. ATR% reads 11.13, near the middle of its full historical range. Bollinger Band width% reads 52.41, near the middle of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.43. Range expansion is not leading the setup right now.

Momentum is stronger. RSI is 58.12, ROC14 is +26.06%, and MACD histogram is positive. These readings point in the same direction: upside pressure is active across momentum and multi-day acceleration.

The read is still incomplete: momentum is improving, but volatility or participation has not confirmed the move strongly enough.

Broader Market Regime

The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. RPL has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.

Key Levels for the Next State Change

For RPL, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 2.667 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 1.214 USDT confirms a bearish regime.

Rocket Pool (RPL) Historical Chart and Market Context

Sigloid historical research chart

This chart gives a historical research view of the asset, including daily price, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, distance from moving averages, historical open interest, funding, historical long/short ratio, and rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus market benchmarks.

Chart Description

The Rocket Pool (RPL) chart includes historical daily price data, RSI, MACD, moving averages, distance from key moving averages, ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, volume, open interest, funding, and long/short positioning. It also adds structural and statistical context, including 55-day price range position and historical range positioning for ATR%, Bollinger Band width%, open interest, and long/short ratio across 30-day, 60-day, 90-day, 180-day, and full-history windows. In addition, it provides multi-timeframe rolling correlation, beta, and R² versus the Sigloid Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, helping evaluate trend structure, volatility conditions, derivatives positioning, and broader market relationships in a single research view.

Data notes

Data source: Binance futures market data. Indicators use closed daily candles only.

Disclaimer: Research context only. Not financial advice. No prediction. Crypto markets are risky.

Research FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Short answers based on closed daily structure, volatility, derivatives, and Bitcoin relationship data.

What is the current market structure for RPL?+

RPL is currently in a sideways structure based on closed daily data. Price remains inside the 55-day range, so Sigloid treats the structure as unresolved.

What are the key support and resistance levels for RPL?+

RPL's nearest support is 55-day support near 1.214 USDT, while nearest resistance is 55-day resistance near 2.667 USDT. These levels come from the lower side of the 55-day range and the upper side of the 55-day range.

What would change the current RPL structure?+

A daily close above 55-day resistance near 2.667 USDT would support a bullish shift. A daily close below 55-day support near 1.214 USDT would support a bearish shift.

What do momentum and volatility show for RPL?+

RPL's momentum is mixed. RSI reads 58.12, ROC14 is +26.06%, while ATR% and Bollinger Band width% show the current volatility backdrop.

What do open interest and long/short positioning show for RPL?+

Open interest and positioning show reduced leverage. OI changed +3.09% over one day, while the long/short ratio reads 0.66.

How correlated is RPL with Bitcoin?+

RPL currently shows weak linkage with Bitcoin on the 30-day window. Correlation is 0.14, beta is 0.75, and R² is 0.02.

Is Sigloid's RPL analysis based on live price?+

No. Sigloid's daily RPL analysis uses closed daily market data, not live intraday price. Live structure changes are tracked separately on the Live Events page.