Price Position and Structural State
Santos FC Fan Token (SANTOS) closed at 0.5719 USDT on July 14, 2026, up 15.26%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.49 USDT, with resistance near 1.059 USDT. A daily close below 0.49 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
SANTOS is trading above short-term moving averages but remains below longer-term resistance. MA20 at 0.546445 USDT can act as near-term support for the recovery attempt, while MA50 at 0.623318 USDT is the key level to reclaim for a broader trend shift. Short-term structure has improved, but longer-term moving averages still show overhead resistance.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
SANTOS shows low trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 72.7. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show cleaner acceptance, with cleaner price progress and lighter wick rejection. This gives moves near support or resistance more weight, especially when price closes cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -0.15% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004367%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004460%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 3.19, showing more long accounts than short accounts. It sits near the middle of its 60-day range, so this is a long tilt without clear historical crowding.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
SANTOS shows a moderate relationship with the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation indicates partial co-movement with the index, while R² suggests that index behavior explains only part of its movement. This means broader market direction has some influence, but asset-specific factors remain important. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.603 | 1.028 | 0.363 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.626 | 1.007 | 0.392 | Strong linkage |
| 180D | 0.445 | 0.636 | 0.198 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
SANTOS has active volume inside a compressed structure. 20-day Volume Z-score is 3.95. ATR% reads 6.20, close to the bottom of its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 16.29, near the lower side of its full historical range. Participation is present, but price has not started moving freely yet.
Impulse and acceleration are improving, but broader momentum is still weaker. MACD histogram is positive and ROC14 is +7.00%, while RSI is 49.81.
The read is early: some pressure is improving, but the asset remains compressed. A better signal would need range expansion and stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. SANTOS has a moderate link to that market condition, so broader market moves can influence price behavior, but the effect is not consistent.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For SANTOS, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 1.059 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.49 USDT confirms a bearish regime.