Price Position and Structural State
Spacecoin (SPACE) closed at 0.005989 USDT on July 13, 2026, down 1.90%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure near the bottom of its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.00558 USDT, with resistance near 0.01058 USDT. A daily close below 0.00558 USDT would confirm a downside regime shift. A hold near support would keep price inside the range.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
SPACE is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.0061547 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 8.74% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -34.22% to 42.93%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
SPACE shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 25.9. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -5.33% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 90-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.005011%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 2.45, sitting near the upper side of its 30-day range at 82.57%. This means long accounts are unusually dominant compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
SPACE shows weak linkage to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index). Correlation is limited, and R² indicates that index behavior explains only a small portion of its movement. This suggests price action is largely driven by asset-specific factors rather than broader market direction. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.223 | 0.471 | 0.05 | Weak linkage |
| 60D | 0.285 | 0.757 | 0.081 | Weak linkage |
| 180D | — | — | — | Not enough data |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
SPACE remains in a low-volatility setup. ATR% reads 8.82, below its full historical range, and Bollinger Band width% reads 8.32, below its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.85, so participation is not forcing a broader move yet.
MACD histogram has turned positive, while RSI is 43.37 and ROC14 is -3.17%. Short-term impulse is trying to turn first, but broader momentum and acceleration still lag.
The read is early: some pressure is improving, but the asset remains compressed. A better signal would need range expansion and stronger volume.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. SPACE has a weak link to that market condition, so price behavior depends mainly on asset specific structure rather than the broader market.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For SPACE, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.01058 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.00558 USDT confirms a bearish regime.