Price Position and Structural State
Steem (STEEM) closed at 0.05053 USDT on May 29, 2026, down 1.12%. The asset now sits in a bearish structure. Price entered this structure after closing below 55-day support at 0.05337 USDT on May 22, 2026. Current 55-day support is near 0.04933 USDT, with resistance near 0.068 USDT. A daily close above MA14 at 0.053557 USDT would weaken the regime and shift price back into sideways.
Breakdown Context: 87-Session Support Pressure
Steem spent about 87 sessions consolidating above the 0.05337 USDT support level before a breakdown closed below it. This confirmed the bearish structural transition. The extended compression period shows sustained pressure at the support level, where repeated attempts to hold failed until sellers took control and pushed the price lower.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
STEEM is trading below all key moving averages. MA9 at 0.052608 USDT stands as the first moving-average resistance area to watch. Price sits 11.18% below MA50, within its historical distance range of -31.13% to 58.05%. The moving-average structure is bearish without showing extreme downside extension.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
STEEM shows high trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 30.1. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show contested movement, with weak price progress or heavier wick rejection. In this condition, moves near support or resistance carry less weight until price closes more cleanly.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -3.44% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.005000%, while the 7-day average is -0.077404%. This shows fresh long-side cost pressure rather than a sustained build across the week.
The long/short ratio is 0.96, sitting near the lower side of its 60-day range at 14.82%. This means short accounts dominate, with the long/short reading near the low side of recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
STEEM remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta showing normal sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that STEEM moves closely with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. This means broader market direction carries meaningful weight when interpreting STEEM. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.631 | 0.91 | 0.398 | Strong linkage |
| 60D | 0.676 | 0.723 | 0.457 | Strong, lower beta |
| 180D | 0.541 | 0.728 | 0.292 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
STEEM's bands are opening, but the move still lacks full support. Bollinger Band width% reads 21.50, close to the top of its 60-day range. ATR% reads 4.81, near the lower side of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.31, showing near-normal participation.
Momentum is weaker. RSI is 33.87, ROC14 is -12.18%, and MACD histogram is negative. These readings point in the same direction: downside pressure is active, while recovery pressure remains limited.
The read is cautious: downside momentum is active, but volatility and participation do not confirm a strong break yet.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. STEEM stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For STEEM, the next structural shift depends on key levels. Staying below MA14 at 0.053557 USDT keeps the current trend intact. A daily close above MA14 would weaken the structure and push price back into a range, while a confirmed break above 55-day resistance at 0.068 USDT would establish a bullish regime.