Price Position and Structural State
Ronin (RONIN) closed at 0.06401 USDT on October 15, 2026, up 2.51%. The asset now sits in a sideways structure inside its 55-day range. Current 55-day support is near 0.04594 USDT, with resistance near 0.08523 USDT. Price is near the middle of the range, so the market has no clear structural edge until it closes outside these levels.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
RONIN is trading below short-term moving averages while still holding above longer-term support. MA9 at 0.0654 USDT may cap short-term recovery attempts, while MA50 at 0.059031 USDT remains the more significant structural support area. The structure resembles a pullback within a broader trend more than a full trend failure.
Trading Friction and Price Efficiency
RONIN shows moderate trading friction, with a 3-day friction score of 37.4. The score combines price progress, wick rejection, and volume confirmation. Recent candles show mixed acceptance, so price is moving but still showing some noise. Moves near support or resistance need a cleaner daily close before they carry stronger weight.
Open Interest, Funding, and Positioning
Open interest fell -7.50% in one day and remains near the lower side of its 180-day range. This shows participation is weak and exposure is still being reduced.
Funding is positive on the 24-hour average at +0.004319%, with the 7-day average also positive at +0.004070%. This shows sustained long-side cost pressure across both short and medium windows.
The long/short ratio is 1.60, sitting near the lower side of its 90-day range at 7.16%. This means long accounts still dominate, but the long tilt is weaker than usual compared with recent history.
Correlation, Beta, and Index Relationship
RONIN remains strongly linked to the broader crypto market (Sigloid Index), with beta indicating higher sensitivity to index movements. Correlation confirms that RONIN moves in line with the index, while R² shows that index behavior explains a significant share of its movement. Elevated beta means price tends to amplify broader market moves rather than simply track them. Over the 30-day window, the relationship is weakening. Over the 60-day window, the relationship is stable. Over the 180-day window, the relationship is stable.
| Window | Correlation | Beta | R² | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D | 0.63 | 1.331 | 0.397 | Strong, high beta |
| 60D | 0.684 | 1.233 | 0.469 | Strong, high beta |
| 180D | 0.543 | 1.201 | 0.294 | Moderate linkage |
Momentum, Volatility, and Indicator Pressure
RONIN is moving more day to day, but participation remains weak. ATR% reads 10.12, close to the top of its 90-day range, while Bollinger Band width% reads 16.39, close to the bottom of its full historical range. 20-day Volume Z-score is -0.17.
Momentum is mixed. RSI is 50.67, ROC14 is -3.07%, and MACD histogram does not confirm a clean direction. Indicator pressure remains uneven.
The read is incomplete, so support, resistance, and the daily close matter more than the indicator setup.
Broader Market Regime
The Sigloid Index remains in a sideways regime, showing no clear broad market direction. RONIN stays closely linked to that market condition, so changes in market sentiment can still influence price behavior even when the broader trend is unclear.
Key Levels for the Next State Change
For RONIN, the next structural shift depends on range boundaries. A daily close above 55-day resistance at 0.08523 USDT establishes a bullish regime, while a daily close below 55-day support at 0.04594 USDT confirms a bearish regime.